US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo

$55K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
概率趋势
Taylor Fritz 86.5%
Francisco Cerundolo 13.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 以压倒性的 8,650% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 以 7,450% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $55K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo (8,650%):US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $56.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner (7,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 保持着 7,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,450¢。
  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,150%)、US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner (7,100%),以及 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner (7,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo8650.0%$56.1K8650¢-8550¢
2US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.57250.0%$727250¢-7150¢
4US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.57150.0%7150¢-7050¢
5US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner7100.0%7100¢-7000¢
6US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
7US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
8US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.55150.0%$3195150¢-5050¢
9US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
20US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.54650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
22US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
23US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
24US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
25US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.51850.0%1850¢-1750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Francisco Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Taylor Fritz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:21 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $27.04

    Bought 52 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.52

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $30.00

    Bought 200 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 09:09 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $400.00

    Bought 465.116278 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1162.790696 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:45 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $30.00

    Bought 34.883714 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:35 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $29.91

    Bought 58.653845 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:06 AM
    EMemoney
    $300.00

    Bought 638.297871 Fritz for Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:03 AM
    NJnjhfygt
    $3.00

    Bought 3.488371 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:02 AM
    THThiruvilayadal
    $103.32

    Bought 120.14 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 10.266665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

IS1
Israel10
事件盈亏
-$47.49
成交量
$9,500.07
持仓数
Francisco Cerundolo
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
+$29.41
成交量
$5,882.35
持仓数
Taylor Fritz
PL3
pltrkr111
事件盈亏
+$11.76
成交量
$2,352.94
持仓数
Taylor Fritz
HO4
Hoch
事件盈亏
-$5.88
成交量
$1,176.47
持仓数
Taylor Fritz
LI5
Lilybaeum
事件盈亏
+$5.69
成交量
$1,137.67
持仓数
Francisco Cerundolo
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$5.61
成交量
$1,122.05
持仓数
Taylor Fritz
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$6.38
成交量
$1,025.47
持仓数
Cerundolo
LI8
LiquidatedDegen
事件盈亏
-$4.69
成交量
$937.50
持仓数
Francisco Cerundolo

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo 以 8,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner(7,450%),以及 US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $55K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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