Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas

$260.3K Vol
2026年10月17日
Active
概率趋势
Jonas Forejtek 50.5%
Alejandro Moro Canas 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Match O/U 23.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 Winner 以 9,960% 位居第二,Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $260.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%):Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Match O/U 23.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $26 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 Winner (9,960%):作为最可行的替代选项,Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 Winner 保持着 9,960% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,960¢。
  • Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,955%)、Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%),以及 Completed Match (5,400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Game Spread +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Match O/U 23.59995.0%$269995¢-9895¢
2Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 Winner9960.0%—9960¢-9860¢
3Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 8.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
4Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 9.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
5Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Total Sets: O/U 2.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Completed Match5400.0%$9.6K5400¢-5300¢
7Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
8Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas3850.0%$248.2K3850¢-3750¢
9Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%—50¢50¢
10Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Jonas Forejtek and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Palermo, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Alejandro Moro Canas.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Jonas Forejtek.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 02:13 PM
    NONonchant
    $20.00

    Bought 32.786884 Over for Forejtek vs. Canas: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.61

  • 02:12 PM
    SMsmolnik
    $2.20

    Bought 110 No for Palermo: Completed Match: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.02

  • 02:11 PM
    SMsmolnik
    $2.20

    Bought 110 No for Palermo: Completed Match: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.02

  • 02:11 PM
    FEfeng9669
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.57

  • 02:09 PM
    ILilia02
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.6

  • 02:01 PM
    FRfrapyz
    $243.26

    Bought 517.574469 Jonas Forejtek for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.47

  • 01:57 PM
    11117233026
    $1.16

    Bought 2.109091 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.55

  • 01:57 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $121.21

    Bought 224.46 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.54

  • 01:56 PM
    0X0x38928981c14eC89ffE9Ef751a596a82d8F438d8d-1768543551609
    $19.59

    Bought 36.277778 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.54

  • 01:55 PM
    FEfelicestigres
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Alejandro Moro Canas for Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas at 0.54

  • 01:53 PM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Over for Forejtek vs. Canas: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.57

  • 01:51 PM
    INInAirdropWeTrust
    $99.61

    Bought 174.75 Over for Forejtek vs. Canas: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CA1
Carlos10
事件盈亏
-$43.75
成交量
$2,101.65
持仓数
Jonas Forejtek
382
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$5.16
成交量
$749.36
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$11.06
成交量
$700.00
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas
FL4
Flaznorp
事件盈亏
+$8.23
成交量
$548.91
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas
HO5
hobo69
事件盈亏
+$0.15
成交量
$500.00
持仓数
Jonas Forejtek
PA6
Pan9X
事件盈亏
+$1.04
成交量
$102.73
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas
AN7
antec
事件盈亏
+$0.50
成交量
$100.00
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas
P-8
p-trader-2026
事件盈亏
+$1.50
成交量
$100.00
持仓数
Alejandro Moro Canas

常见问题

当前市场对「Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Match O/U 23.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 Winner(9,960%),以及 Palermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas Set 2 O/U 8.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $260.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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