
Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya
核心摘要
根据「Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya 以压倒性的 7,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 4,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $86.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya (7,550%):Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $86.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Completed Match (4,950%):以 4,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya | 7550.0% | $86.0K | 7550¢ | -7450¢ |
| 2 | Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Hiroki Moriya.
This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Blake Ellis.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 15, 2026
- 10:29 AM——$95.69
Bought 598.0625 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.16
- 10:29 AMPRPRppr$87.36
Bought 104 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.84
- 10:27 AMLOlomatic$29.04
Bought 33 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.88
- 10:27 AMWIWilliMekkit$1.74
Bought 10.88 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.16
- 10:27 AM0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846$3.27
Bought 21.82 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15
- 10:27 AM0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846$0.70
Bought 5 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.14
- 10:26 AM0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846$1.00
Bought 6.666667 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15
- 10:26 AM——$5.00
Bought 33.333334 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15
- 10:25 AMEUEulhunter$2.57
Bought 23.39 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.11
- 10:24 AMOJojg$4.20
Bought 5 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.84
- 10:23 AMROronaldooo$1.00
Bought 5 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.2
- 10:23 AMUPUpTheBlues$13.20
Bought 66 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.2
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya 以 7,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5(5,000%),以及 Completed Match(4,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $86.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
