Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

$363.1K Vol
2026年10月13日
Active
概率趋势
Nikoloz Basilashvili 88.5%
Liam Draxl 11.5%

核心摘要

根据「Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,255% 获胜概率主导市场;Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 以 850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $363.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,255%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,255¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (850%):以 850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5255.0%$5.8K5255¢-5155¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili850.0%$353.5K850¢-750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Liam Draxl.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:09 AM
    SHshadowMacMini2
    $5.00

    Bought 11.62 Liam Draxl for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.43

  • 01:08 AM
    0X0xd6e8a0a4bB5C54922bf881fC9A39970B6898B293-1772367214777
    $200.00

    Bought 344.827585 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 01:02 AM
    EPepistemic
    $58.00

    Bought 100 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 12:48 AM
    MAMaverick.T
    $15.00

    Bought 25.862069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 12:06 AM
    CBCbrojasg
    $10.00

    Bought 17.24138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

Oct 5, 2026

  • 09:56 PM
    WAWarehouse.
    $49.00

    Bought 84.482759 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 09:50 PM
    0X0xcBeF04deaD0a5D75B28D2bb4EF149A222da10C11-1775060445677
    $300.00

    Bought 517.24138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 09:32 PM
    0X0xB075971936F037B2e1355446AE48F8E1E7A0DE2c-1775145812259
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 Liam Draxl for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.43

  • 09:26 PM
    XYxyoun99
    $16.66

    Bought 28.724138 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 09:26 PM
    NOnobody1401
    $4.00

    Bought 6.896552 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 09:26 PM
    0X0xA867eB58228A4625e2eD57C87b550545356e71ab-1772276393192
    $8.33

    Bought 14.362069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

  • 09:26 PM
    M4m4yconn
    $5.72

    Bought 9.862069 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.58

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$45.42
成交量
$19,215.00
持仓数
Liam Draxl
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$10.75
成交量
$11,227.88
持仓数
Liam Draxl
323
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
+$2.58
成交量
$6,359.08
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
F14
0xf12f…3239
事件盈亏
-$211.20
成交量
$6,034.48
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
MA5
Madeira99
事件盈亏
-$207.90
成交量
$4,620.05
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
UP6
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$331.77
成交量
$3,440.79
持仓数
Liam Draxl
KI7
KioskJammer
事件盈亏
+$33.00
成交量
$2,200.00
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili
888
88M
事件盈亏
+$20.48
成交量
$2,048.13
持仓数
Nikoloz Basilashvili

常见问题

当前市场对「Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,255% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Game Spread +/-1.5(5,000%),以及 Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili(850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $363.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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