US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

$46.8K Vol
2026年9月11日
Active
概率趋势
Luciano Darderi 76.5%
Dane Sweeny 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 以压倒性的 7,550% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,850% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $46.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny (7,550%):US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $46.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持着 6,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,850¢。
  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner (6,700%)、US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner (6,550%),以及 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny7550.0%$46.1K7550¢-7450¢
2US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
3US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
5US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
6US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.56250.0%$2506250¢-6150¢
7US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.55700.0%$6565700¢-5600¢
8US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 9.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 36.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 38.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
22US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Game Spread +/-7.53850.0%$1313850¢-3750¢
23US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 40.53800.0%$833800¢-3700¢
24US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-2.53650.0%$5463650¢-3550¢
25US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 10.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 4.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny.

This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 41.666665 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:36 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 8.620688 Over 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.58

  • 08:35 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 20.833332 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:33 AM
    PEpeepk0ck
    $5.00

    Bought 6.49 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 6.493504 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    $2.40

    Bought 10 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:31 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $7,395.96

    Bought 9731.53 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.76

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 6.16 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.25

  • 07:28 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.864863 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 07:26 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.090908 Under 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.44

  • 07:25 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $2.50

    Bought 4.032257 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 07:15 AM
    PGpgktrio2
    $5.00

    Sold 6.66 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.75

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件盈亏
+$5,127.89
成交量
$20,930.15
持仓数
Dane Sweeny
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$48.67
成交量
$9,731.53
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
+$4,967.10
成交量
$6,578.94
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
SE4
sentrio
事件盈亏
+$3.48
成交量
$4,560.93
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
325
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
+$3,028.04
成交量
$4,010.65
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
076
0x076d…8d4c
事件盈亏
+$57.13
成交量
$3,313.02
持仓数
Dane SweenyDarderi
AG7
AGUGava
事件盈亏
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持仓数
Luciano Darderi
AL8
alm19911
事件盈亏
+$8.47
成交量
$1,692.95
持仓数
Dane Sweeny

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny 以 7,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,850%),以及 US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $46.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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