Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz

2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Hubert Hurkacz 72.5%
Martin Damm 27.5%

核心摘要

根据「Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz 以 2,950% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner 以 0% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz (2,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz 保持着 2,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 2,950¢。
  • Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner (0%):以 0% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner (0%)、Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (0%),以及 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 (0%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
3Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner0.0%100¢
4Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner0.0%100¢
5Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.50.0%100¢
6Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.50.0%100¢
7Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.50.0%100¢
8Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.50.0%100¢
9Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.50.0%100¢
10Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.50.0%100¢
11Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.50.0%100¢
12Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.50.0%100¢
13Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.50.0%100¢
14Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.50.0%100¢
15Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.50.0%100¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Hubert Hurkacz in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Martin Damm.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz(2,950%),以及 Chengdu Open: Martin Damm vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner(0%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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