China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu
核心摘要
根据「China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Yunchaokete Bu 以压倒性的 9,960% 获胜概率主导市场；Juan Manuel Cerundolo 以 40% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $309K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Yunchaokete Bu (9,960%)：Yunchaokete Bu 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,960¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo (40%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Juan Manuel Cerundolo 保持着 40% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 40¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yunchaokete Bu | 9960.0% | — | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 2 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40.0% | — | 40¢ | 60¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Yunchaokete Bu in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Yunchaokete Bu.
This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 29, 2026
- 11:55 PM0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162$3.00
Bought 5 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 11:55 PM0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481$11.00
Bought 18.333332 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 10:32 PMFOForsenboy$3.00
Bought 5 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 09:58 PM——$75.00
Bought 125 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 09:57 PMOLolivzer$5.00
Bought 12.195122 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.41
- 09:26 PMMUmuymaurice$1.00
Bought 1.666667 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 09:04 PMBEbetfun...$10.25
Bought 25 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.41
- 08:59 PMBObonneville$15.00
Bought 36.585366 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.41
- 08:57 PMNEneutralwave23$14.71
Bought 24.516667 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 07:51 PMBJbjorn19$110.00
Bought 183.333332 Yunchaokete Bu for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.6
- 07:00 PM——$177.88
Bought 291.606558 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Set Handicap: Yunchaokete Bu (-1.5) vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (+1.5) at 0.61
- 06:58 PMTITimPenis$1.83
Bought 4.463415 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu at 0.41
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「China Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Yunchaokete Bu 以 9,960% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Juan Manuel Cerundolo（40%）。该市场总成交量已达 $309K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。