US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff

$74.4K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Jan-Lennard Struff 65.5%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 34.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,850% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,200% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5 以 5,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $74.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,850%):US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.5 保持着 6,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,200¢。
  • US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%):以 5,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 36.5 (5,300%)、US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,300%),以及 US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Completed Match 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
2US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.56200.0%$8296200¢-6100¢
3US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$1.6K5350¢-5250¢
4US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 36.55300.0%$3115300¢-5200¢
5US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 9.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-1.55150.0%$415150¢-5050¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 38.54650.0%$504650¢-4550¢
19US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 2 Winner4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
20US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Match O/U 40.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
21US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 Winner4100.0%$2.0K4100¢-4000¢
22US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 3 Winner4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
23US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff3450.0%$73.9K3450¢-3350¢
24US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 10.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
25US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set Handicap +/-2.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
26US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 4.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Jan-Lennard Struff.

This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:44 AM
    IAiamnumberfour
    $4.48

    Bought 7 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 08:31 AM
    0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481
    $12.00

    Bought 18.75 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 08:31 AM
    MAmatthematike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 08:29 AM
    SBsbsigner
    $23.46

    Bought 36.65 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 08:17 AM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $150.00

    Bought 234.375 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 07:51 AM
    ABAbso74
    $6.00

    Bought 9.375 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 07:43 AM
    GRgrandeYdesagradable
    $6.45

    Bought 17.432431 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.37

  • 07:43 AM
    DOdonclairse
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.37

  • 07:43 AM
    0X0x949A26cC421829f58b2f8F71aA663ccC219e748b-1778142974573
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 07:33 AM
    $0.69

    Bought 1.87 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.37

  • 07:30 AM
    MYMyGoldenBoy
    $14.96

    Bought 23.38 Jan-Lennard Struff for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.64

  • 07:30 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $2,631.54

    Bought 7309.84 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff at 0.36

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
事件盈亏
+$104.27
成交量
$21,470.95
持仓数
Jan-Lennard Struff
BC2
0xBc43…7816
事件盈亏
-$75.00
成交量
$17,952.92
持仓数
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2C3
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$55.83
成交量
$11,164.59
持仓数
Jan-Lennard Struff
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$1.07
成交量
$9,620.00
持仓数
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
CO5
comon119
事件盈亏
+$30.03
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
Jan-Lennard Struff
PE6
PeterSagan
事件盈亏
-$8.33
成交量
$4,111.79
持仓数
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
HI7
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$19.26
成交量
$3,715.12
持仓数
Camilo Ugo CarabelliCarabelliUnder
PL8
pltrkr111
事件盈亏
-$15.63
成交量
$3,125.00
持仓数
Jan-Lennard Struff

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,200%),以及 US Open ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Game Spread +/-3.5(5,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $74.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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