Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko

$157.3K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
概率趋势
Vitaliy Sachko 56.5%
Gianluca Cadenasso 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 6,900% 获胜概率主导市场;Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 以 5,200% 位居第二,Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $157.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (6,900%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $157.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 (5,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5 保持着 5,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,200¢。
  • Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%),以及 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match6900.0%$157.3K6900¢-6800¢
2Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
3Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 22.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
14Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 1 Winner4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
15Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set 2 Winner4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
16Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko4450.0%$334450¢-4350¢
17Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Set Handicap +/-1.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Gianluca Cadenasso and Vitaliy Sachko in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Vitaliy Sachko.

This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Gianluca Cadenasso.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 1, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    FLflipper-cro
    $0.56

    Sold 1.48 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.38

  • 11:56 AM
    BAbaseline-cro
    $0.65

    Sold 1.48 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.44

  • 11:45 AM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $195.66

    Sold 6522 No for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.03

  • 11:41 AM
    ——
    $6,326.34

    Bought 6522 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.97

  • 11:37 AM
    0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000
    $0.26

    Sold 8.61 No for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.03

  • 11:36 AM
    0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000
    $5.00

    Bought 8.62069 No for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.58

  • 11:28 AM
    ——
    $6,368.05

    Bought 6565 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.97

  • 11:26 AM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $195.18

    Sold 6506 No for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.03

  • 11:22 AM
    ——
    $6,310.82

    Bought 6506 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.97

  • 11:20 AM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $131.66

    Sold 6583 No for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.02

  • 11:15 AM
    ——
    $0.37

    Bought 0.37 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.99

  • 11:15 AM
    ——
    $6,385.51

    Bought 6583 Yes for Bari: Completed Match: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko at 0.97

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

861
0x86b5…16c4
事件盈亏
-$1,838.19
成交量
$6,565.00
持仓数
Yes
SJ2
sjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
事件盈亏
+$1,838.20
成交量
$6,565.00
持仓数
No
OM3
omnibus-076daa
事件盈亏
-$0.88
成交量
$30.73
持仓数
Vitaliy Sachko
NO4
no1dodgersfan
事件盈亏
+$0.50
成交量
$25.00
持仓数
Gianluca Cadenasso
GP5
Gptball
事件盈亏
-$5.10
成交量
$12.60
持仓数
Yes
FL6
FlyingSabra
事件盈亏
+$2.32
成交量
$9.99
持仓数
No
177
0x170b…a728
事件盈亏
+$1.38
成交量
$5.00
持仓数
No
RA8
RadioFreeZerg
事件盈亏
+$0.10
成交量
$5.00
持仓数
Gianluca Cadenasso

常见问题

当前市场对「Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 6,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Match O/U 21.5(5,200%),以及 Bari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Vitaliy Sachko Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $157.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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