US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng

$73.2K Vol
2026年9月10日
Active
概率趋势
Michael Zheng 62.5%
Yunchaokete Bu 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-3.5 以 7,050% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 5,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $73.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-3.5 (7,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-3.5 保持着 7,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,050¢。
  • US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,400%):以 5,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
2US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-3.57050.0%$3907050¢-6950¢
3US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.55400.0%$6505400¢-5300¢
4US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$3.3K5000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$3055000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 40.55000.0%$365000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set Handicap +/-2.54600.0%$24600¢-4500¢
19US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 3 Winner3550.0%3550¢-3450¢
20US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 2 Winner3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
21US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 38.53300.0%$363300¢-3200¢
22US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Match O/U 36.53000.0%$3183000¢-2900¢
23US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng1800.0%$126.2K1800¢-1700¢
24US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.550.0%50¢50¢
25US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.550.0%50¢50¢
26US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 Winner5.0%$38395¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Michael Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Yunchaokete Bu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 3, 2026

  • 09:31 PM
    RYRyancharran47
    $20.00

    Bought 32.258063 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:31 PM
    OOoookkjjdd
    $5.00

    Bought 12.820511 Yunchaokete Bu for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.39

  • 09:30 PM
    TETeressa1
    $5.07

    Bought 13 Yunchaokete Bu for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.39

  • 09:26 PM
    FOFootystarz
    $25.00

    Bought 64.102563 Yunchaokete Bu for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.39

  • 09:25 PM
    HEHeitGwinni
    $11.61

    Sold 19.04 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.61

  • 09:22 PM
    YYyyooss
    $12.40

    Bought 20 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:20 PM
    YYyyooss
    $12.40

    Bought 20 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0x1E908D31F7eD488AbCE1C5d391F53ab7BF0626F0-1781462170889
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:19 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.49

    Bought 38.26 Over 3.5 for Yunchaokete Bu vs. Michael Zheng: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.64

  • 09:13 PM
    YYyyooss
    $18.59

    Bought 29.99 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:09 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $14.36

    Bought 23.16 Michael Zheng for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.62

  • 09:07 PM
    0X0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953
    $50.31

    Bought 129 Yunchaokete Bu for US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng at 0.39

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

0X1
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
-$928.04
成交量
$12,373.88
持仓数
Yunchaokete Bu
242
0x246b…6048
事件盈亏
-$980.76
成交量
$11,538.46
持仓数
Yunchaokete Bu
K53
k56
事件盈亏
+$696.97
成交量
$10,211.44
持仓数
Michael Zheng
MA4
mamee2
事件盈亏
+$535.50
成交量
$7,140.00
持仓数
Michael Zheng
BR5
BreadGet
事件盈亏
+$256.88
成交量
$6,999.99
持仓数
Michael Zheng
GA6
GaoJin-GamblingGod
事件盈亏
+$561.71
成交量
$6,608.39
持仓数
Michael Zheng
KK7
Kkunn
事件盈亏
-$531.57
成交量
$6,253.85
持仓数
Yunchaokete Bu
JI8
jiiivi655
事件盈亏
-$458.65
成交量
$6,102.74
持仓数
Yunchaokete Bu

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Game Spread +/-3.5(7,050%),以及 US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng Total Sets: O/U 3.5(5,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $73.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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