
Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego
核心摘要
根据「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 以 6,300% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 以 5,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $216.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%):Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 (6,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 保持着 6,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,300¢。
- Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 (5,800%):以 5,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Completed Match (5,000%)、Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5 | 6300.0% | $7 | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 3 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5 | 5800.0% | $362 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $536 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | $354 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4450.0% | $345 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 10 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 Winner | 4250.0% | $152 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 11 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego | 2550.0% | $228.7K | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 12 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Game Spread +/-1.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 13 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 Winner | 5.0% | $3.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 14 | Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $15.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Lorenzo Sonego.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Jenson Brooksby.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 25, 2026
- 12:04 AMOCOctavian8$100.00
Bought 204.081633 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49
- 12:04 AM——$2.00
Bought 3.846154 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 12:04 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.923077 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
Sep 24, 2026
- 11:51 PM0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115$7.80
Bought 15 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 11:46 PM0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064$30.41
Bought 58.48077 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 11:27 PM0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186$4.88
Bought 9.384616 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 11:13 PMBLblazedbunny$25.00
Bought 51.020409 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49
- 10:43 PMPHphorma$735.80
Bought 1415 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 10:37 PMMAMarcos9818$50.00
Bought 96.153847 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 10:11 PMHOhobo69$392.00
Bought 800 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49
- 10:00 PMRERedLightFtw$2.60
Bought 5 Jenson Brooksby for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.52
- 10:00 PMNInigiri99$101.92
Bought 208 Lorenzo Sonego for Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego at 0.49
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 21.5(6,300%),以及 Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego Match O/U 23.5(5,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $216.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
