
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
核心摘要
根据「Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner 以 5,050% 位居第二,Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (5,050%):Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $54.4K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%):以 5,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%)、Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner (5,000%),以及 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 5050.0% | $54.4K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner | 5050.0% | $1.0K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | $206 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5050.0% | $4.5K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | $3.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4950.0% | $197 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | $186 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 4950.0% | $1.3K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | $935 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5 | 4950.0% | $1.6K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4950.0% | $4.5K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Game Spread +/-4.5 | 4950.0% | $18.2K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Completed Match | 200.0% | $160 | 200¢ | -100¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Nuno Borges.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 23, 2026
- 10:23 PMMImilouthebigredmonster$4.77
Bought 8.517856 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56
- 10:21 PMWAwanah$4.91
Bought 8.92 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55
- 10:21 PM0X0xA867eB58228A4625e2eD57C87b550545356e71ab-1772276393192$9.52
Bought 17.309091 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55
- 10:21 PM0X0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239$2,992.49
Bought 5343.739825 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56
- 10:18 PM0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222$1.00
Bought 2.040817 Over for Borges vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.49
- 10:02 PM0X0xab371278BB58B20885CdE5C01FB68a888C4F7b61-1778353770816$203.00
Bought 253.75 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:53 PMKOKOVSAN$1.00
Bought 1.25 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:49 PMBIBichoTrader$2,250.00
Bought 2812.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:47 PMHOhonduraslover$1.00
Bought 4.761905 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.21
- 09:32 PMSOSouleeer$100.00
Bought 125 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:08 PMRTrtmluck$49.93
Bought 56.741572 Nuno Borges for Set Handicap: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5) at 0.88
- 08:49 PMKRKryptoRadioPL$10.00
Bought 12.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner(5,050%),以及 Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5(5,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
