Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler

$103.6K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
概率趋势
Felix Balshaw 54.0%
Joel Schwaerzler 46.0%

核心摘要

根据「Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 以压倒性的 5,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $103.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler (5,550%):Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $96.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Completed Match 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler5550.0%$96.3K5550¢-5450¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$8.0K5000¢-4900¢
3Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Joel Schwaerzler in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Joel Schwaerzler.

This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Felix Balshaw.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:59 AM
    XUXuinto
    $98.90

    Sold 247.24 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x311CD6e45180D75cD312eE2EbC66b0603A4c3fD9-1775570975323
    $2.90

    Sold 5 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.58

  • 11:57 AM
    SNSnezhnyDemon
    $18.30

    Sold 45.76 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:51 AM
    0X0xa54dE3eb0aEebe109eaE42f9501A98EA6B78DEB8-1773187721162
    $104.23

    Sold 254.23 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:50 AM
    ——
    $10.75

    Sold 18.86 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.57

  • 11:50 AM
    RERefaelnadal
    $1,085.96

    Sold 1939.22 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.56

  • 11:49 AM
    BIBigwinfinn
    $57.87

    Sold 144.68 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:48 AM
    0X0x925499a29Eb472668E9f546ad20208E4feACC448-1772522193672
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:48 AM
    1919990930
    $300.00

    Bought 731.707318 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.20

    Bought 7 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.6

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $22.99

    Bought 56.060976 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

XA1
xabidaking
事件盈亏
+$603.00
成交量
$24,902.19
持仓数
Joel Schwaerzler
F12
0xf12f…3239
事件盈亏
+$2,356.97
成交量
$9,363.82
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$400.62
成交量
$7,941.19
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
RN4
RN1
事件盈亏
-$165.32
成交量
$2,895.38
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
RE5
Refaelnadal
事件盈亏
+$358.76
成交量
$1,939.22
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
AV6
avotrade
事件盈亏
+$454.79
成交量
$1,877.00
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
327
0x32b4…3653
事件盈亏
-$50.03
成交量
$1,861.65
持仓数
Felix Balshaw
GH8
ghostorder
事件盈亏
-$41.25
成交量
$1,650.00
持仓数
Felix Balshaw

常见问题

当前市场对「Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler 以 5,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $103.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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