
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata
核心摘要
根据「US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata 以 9,910% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $100.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5 (9,950%):US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata (9,910%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata 保持着 9,910% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,910¢。
- US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 9.5 (9,050%)、US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 10.5 (9,050%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata | 9910.0% | $107.9K | 9910¢ | -9810¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $2.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $83 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-6.5 | 165.0% | $1.5K | 165¢ | -65¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 5.0% | $52.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Rinky Hijikata in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Rinky Hijikata.
This market will resolve to 'Rinky Hijikata' if Rinky Hijikata advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 31, 2026
- 09:05 PM2H2HAE$100.00
Bought 111.11111 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 08:56 PMUNUnderdogDan$204.00
Bought 400 Over 3.5 for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Rinky Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.51
- 08:45 PM0X0x481d360A7fB328DEf316d399e4037CDc397C84dd-1768226499264$4.55
Bought 5.05555 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 08:45 PM0X0x8156b454E6071a79721eB0c6045C28287B551e76-1782369221741$305.00
Bought 338.88888 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 08:44 PM0X0x7864E56412f3bDe58333Bd67dc5492eA49553F9A-1769323390423$2.00
Bought 18.181817 Rinky Hijikata for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.11
- 08:30 PMALAlexisIZL2$28.00
Bought 31.11111 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 08:27 PMEMemoney$301.35
Bought 602.6924 Auger-Aliassime for Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Hijikata (+2.5) at 0.5
- 08:06 PMPOpolfrey$30.00
Bought 33.33333 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 08:02 PMRORodNach$31.13
Bought 283 Rinky Hijikata for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.11
- 08:01 PMIWiwanttoberichplease$30.00
Bought 33.33333 Felix Auger-Aliassime for US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata at 0.9
- 07:45 PMNEneutralwave23$9.26
Bought 18.156861 Over 3.5 for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Rinky Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.51
- 07:40 PMQXQx12$100.60
Bought 189.814813 Hijikata for Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Hijikata (+2.5) at 0.53
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata(9,910%),以及 US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $100.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
