CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；CA River Plate (-1.5) 以 5% 位居第二，Both Teams to Score in First Half 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $293K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 (9,995%)：CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $68 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- CA River Plate (-1.5) (5%)：作为最可行的替代选项，CA River Plate (-1.5) 保持着 5% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
- Both Teams to Score in First Half (5%)：以 5% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Both Teams to Score in First Half 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 1st Half O/U 1.5 (5%)、CA River Plate 1st Half O/U 0.5 (5%)，以及 Both Teams to Score in Second Half (5%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 1st Half O/U 1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 9995.0% | $68 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | CA River Plate (-1.5) | 5.0% | $9.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 5.0% | $11 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 5.0% | $5.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 5 | CA River Plate 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5.0% | $1.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 5.0% | $4 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for October 7 at 6:30 PM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 14, 2026
- 09:20 PMFEfelicestigres$5.00
Bought 11.111112 Yes for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Score at 0.45
- 09:18 PMSUsuntori$9.52
Bought 20.695653 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 09:16 PM0X0x2F4DF86a47a90d201CdF85B2e779Be3Bc0D3448F-1773771549566$5.00
Bought 8.928572 No for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Score at 0.56
- 09:14 PMUPUpTheBlues$7.82
Bought 17 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 09:14 PMIWiWasEnough$2.30
Bought 5 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 09:13 PMEDEdum3tamsk$100.00
Bought 107.526871 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5 at 0.93
- 09:10 PMRORodrigoSpy$10.00
Bought 18.18 Under for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.55
- 09:07 PMREreaaln$2.30
Bought 5 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 09:06 PMFAfacufacu29$38.72
Bought 59.569231 CA Sarmiento for Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5) at 0.65
- 09:05 PMNSnscoin$1.00
Bought 1.818182 Under for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5 at 0.55
- 09:05 PMALalehandrorodri$10.00
Bought 34.482759 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.29
- 09:05 PMALalehandrorodri$10.00
Bought 33.333334 Over for CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate: CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.3
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate - More Markets」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，CA Sarmiento 1st Half O/U 0.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 CA River Plate (-1.5)（5%），以及 Both Teams to Score in First Half（5%）。该市场总成交量已达 $293K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。