Alex Warren 'Wildchild' First Week Album Sales?

$29.8K Vol
2026年9月5日
Active
概率趋势
70-90k 100.0%
50-70k 0.1%
<50k 0.1%
90-110k 0.1%
130k+ 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Alex Warren 'Wildchild' First Week Album Sales?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，70-90k 以压倒性的 9,900% 获胜概率主导市场；50-70k 以 5,050% 位居第二，<50k 以 3,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $29.8K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • 70-90k (9,900%)：70-90k 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,900¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • 50-70k (5,050%)：作为最可行的替代选项，50-70k 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • <50k (3,150%)：以 3,150% 的概率位列第三，市场对 <50k 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
170-90k9900.0%$5.8K9900¢-9800¢
250-70k5050.0%$7.1K5050¢-4950¢
3<50k3150.0%$2.0K3150¢-3050¢

裁决规则

Alex Warren's new album 'Wildchild' is expected to release August 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Alex Warren's album 'Wildchild', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Wildchild' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 3, 2026

  • 04:44 PM
    ARArmageddonRewardsBilly
    $4.00

    Sold 400 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.01

  • 04:44 PM
    GMgmgmgmgmg
    $205.48

    Bought 207.56 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k? at 0.99

  • 04:44 PM
    SUsuhail-frenz-account187
    $70.00

    Bought 70 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 50k and 70k? at 1

  • 02:45 PM
    LIlinsong-6
    $0.20

    Sold 20 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.01

  • 01:58 PM
    RIrichyee
    $0.60

    Sold 30 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.02

  • 01:52 PM
    RIrichyee
    $0.60

    Sold 20 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.03

  • 01:47 PM
    BDbdc12
    $495.00

    Bought 515.62 Yes for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.96

  • 12:25 PM
    RIrichyee
    $1.38

    Sold 23 No for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.06

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
    $0.00

    Bought 23 Yes for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 110k and 130k? at 0

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
    $0.00

    Bought 23 Yes for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 90k and 110k? at 0

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
    $0.00

    Bought 23 Yes for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be 130k or more? at 0

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
    $21.62

    Bought 23 Yes for Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k? at 0.94

常见问题

当前市场对「Alex Warren 'Wildchild' First Week Album Sales?」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，70-90k 以 9,900% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 50-70k（5,050%），以及 <50k（3,150%）。该市场总成交量已达 $29.8K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始