
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Game 1 Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Game 2 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que First Blood in Game 1? se sitúa tercero con 9950%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $1,2M, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Game 1 Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game 1 Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $386.5K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Game 2 Winner (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 2 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
- First Blood in Game 1? (9950%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9950%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia First Blood in Game 1?, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (9950%), Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? (9950%) y Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? (9950%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Match Winner siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $386.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $325.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | First Blood in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $289 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $5 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Match Winner | 9620.0% | $419.7K | 9620¢ | -9520¢ |
| 8 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | 8950.0% | $66.5K | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 7750.0% | $5 | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 10 | Game 3 Winner | 7250.0% | $48.3K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 11 | Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5) | 7250.0% | $32.7K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 12 | Game 4 Winner | 5850.0% | $1.1K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | $9 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | $4.3K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4200.0% | $20 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 49 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4200.0% | $20 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 50 | O/U 3.5 Games | 2750.0% | $10.9K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 51 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 2250.0% | $5 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 52 | O/U 4.5 Games | 750.0% | $3.5K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 53 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 50.0% | $2.5K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 54 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $113 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 55 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 56 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 57 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 40.0% | $5.5K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 58 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $4.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FlyQuest.
This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team Liquid.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Sep 20, 2026
- 10:01 PMSQSQUISHYY$19.93
Bought 47.441861 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.42
- 10:00 PMGMgmhenry$25.20
Bought 40 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.63
- 10:00 PM——$1.10
Sold 1.17 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.94
- 10:00 PMFUFuture-Tarot-Trader$762.82
Sold 802.97 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.95
- 10:00 PMFUFuture-Tarot-Trader$32.00
Bought 640 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.05
- 10:00 PM0X0x1e0D9Ff26E57007e9EA8bC69c145130aF34D6326-1781850896424$5.00
Bought 11.904762 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.42
- 09:59 PM0X0x248958C387F1090736ed35b0094650D9e9F6463b-1782252541946$0.20
Bought 5 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.04
- 09:58 PM0X0x03202396163cE34208eB69BB1E07010f321c3757-1772184192988$421.05
Sold 421.05 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 09:58 PMJFJFestival$12.00
Bought 41.379311 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.29
- 09:58 PMFLFlobzzBets$1.55
Bought 2.152778 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72
- 09:58 PMSASanPancho$9.86
Bought 13.694442 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72
- 09:58 PMPApauleta23$5.17
Bought 7.180553 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Game 1 Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Game 2 Winner con 9995% y First Blood in Game 1? con 9950%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $1,2M, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
