
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 6150%. Game 1 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 5650%, mientras que Game 2 Winner se sitúa tercero con 5550%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $140,1K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Match Winner (6150%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 6150¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $77.6K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Game 1 Winner (5650%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 1 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 5650% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 5650¢.
- Game 2 Winner (5550%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5550%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Game 2 Winner, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Odd/Even Total Kills (5250%), Any Player Penta Kill (5200%) y Odd/Even Total Kills (5150%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Quadra Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 6150.0% | $77.6K | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 5650.0% | $26.5K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 5550.0% | $22.5K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4250.0% | $915 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 21 | Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) | 3500.0% | $12.5K | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between SU Esports and Verdant in the EMEA Masters Group C, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against Verdant.
This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against SU Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Sep 23, 2026
- 12:14 PMKAkamakam$2.66
Bought 5.11 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:14 PMSAsajat5mm$7.37
Bought 12.081966 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.61
- 12:12 PMXYXyen$42.53
Bought 80.245282 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner at 0.53
- 12:11 PMXYXyen$53.67
Bought 103.211539 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$172.00
Sold 400 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.43
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$204.00
Sold 400 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.51
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$204.00
Sold 400 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner at 0.51
- 12:06 PM0X0x10CF0821bc351A569E1E48AC2CB002569ff060cF-1764643867221$46.19
Bought 88.826922 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:05 PM0X0xccbeAc01564bc655b7bC7c789047B4eFbf18cD28-1767288523805$1.00
Bought 2.777778 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) at 0.36
- 12:04 PMDAdancingmonkey1$20.90
Bought 54.99 Verdant for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.38
- 12:04 PMSNsng888$35.00
Bought 67.307693 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:03 PMSLSlowbathroom$80.01
Bought 127 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.63
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 6150%, seguido de Game 1 Winner con 5650% y Game 2 Winner con 5550%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $140,1K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
