
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Game 3 Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. O/U 3.5 Games le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? se sitúa tercero con 9995%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $1,9M, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Game 3 Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game 3 Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $505.4K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- O/U 3.5 Games (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, O/U 3.5 Games mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (9995%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9995%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? (9995%), Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? (9995%) y Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (8000%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Slay a Dragon siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 3 Winner | 9995.0% | $505.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 3.5 Games | 9995.0% | $7.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 9995.0% | $1.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 9995.0% | $35 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? | 9995.0% | $30 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 8000.0% | $1.1K | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5750.0% | $10 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 8 | Game 4 Winner | 5250.0% | $204.6K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 9 | O/U 4.5 Games | 5200.0% | $3.4K | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 10 | Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 5100.0% | $32.8K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | First Blood in Game 4? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 32 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 33 | First Blood in Game 3? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4300.0% | $5 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 35 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4300.0% | $5 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 36 | Match Winner | 2095.0% | $245.6K | 2095¢ | -1995¢ |
| 37 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 38 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 150.0% | $10 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 39 | First Blood in Game 1? | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 40 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 41 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 42 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50.0% | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 43 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50.0% | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 44 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50.0% | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 45 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $281.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 46 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $623.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 47 | Game Handicap: SEN (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) | 5.0% | $29.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 50 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5.0% | $10 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 52 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5.0% | $18 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 53 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $424 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 54 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $2.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 55 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 5.0% | $215 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 56 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $25 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 57 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 58 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 59 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 5.0% | $20 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 60 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 61 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $252 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 62 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 5.0% | $25 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 63 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 64 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 65 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? | 5.0% | $30 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 66 | Game Handicap: SR (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and Sentinels in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Sentinels.
This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Sep 18, 2026
- 10:44 PM2121372137$55.30
Bought 70 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.79
- 10:43 PMARarbadg$9.81
Bought 12.263678 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.8
- 10:43 PMSEsenbonzakura108$7.31
Sold 36.56 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.2
- 10:43 PM——$0.52
Sold 0.98 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53
- 10:43 PM——$4.11
Sold 8.06 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.51
- 10:43 PMSHshilin6325$94.43
Sold 192.71 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.49
- 10:43 PM——$3.26
Sold 6.16 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53
- 10:43 PM——$6.55
Sold 12.35 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53
- 10:43 PMLAlastbobo$4.09
Bought 5.04321 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.81
- 10:43 PM0X0x8Da6810CD6C13514aD04e33384Fb95656CEEF9bC-1786341876263$1.09
Bought 1.345678 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.81
- 10:43 PM——$0.32
Sold 0.57 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.56
- 10:43 PM——$0.66
Sold 1.18 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.56
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Game 3 Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de O/U 3.5 Games con 9995% y Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? con 9995%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $1,9M, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
