
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Odd/Even Total Kills le sigue en segundo lugar con 9950%, mientras que Both Teams Slay a Dragon se sitúa tercero con 5200%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $649,5K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Match Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $649.5K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Odd/Even Total Kills (9950%): Como la alternativa más viable, Odd/Even Total Kills mantiene una probabilidad del 9950% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9950¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5200%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5200%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Slay a Dragon, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Any Player Quadra Kill (5000%), Any Player Penta Kill (5000%) y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (4850%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $649.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9950.0% | $8 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between RED Canids and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Natus Vincere.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against RED Canids.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Oct 2, 2026
- 11:20 PMICIcehot1$25.00
Bought 125 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.2
- 11:18 PMDAdancingmonkey1$300.00
Bought 1500 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.2
- 11:03 PMDEdeyka$1.00
Bought 1.234568 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 10:28 PMNCncftr$111.00
Bought 137.037036 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 09:54 PM——$10.00
Bought 12.345678 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 09:53 PMAZAzaaaap$996.30
Bought 1230 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 09:12 PMJFJFestival$5.00
Bought 25 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.2
- 08:59 PMPEPedonculeDeJonquille$24.30
Bought 30 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 08:53 PMPUpurplegatto$60.75
Bought 75 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
- 08:39 PMPEPetecossauro$1.90
Sold 10 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.19
- 08:38 PMPEPetecossauro$2.00
Bought 10 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.2
- 08:12 PMCAcaspar1248$16.10
Bought 19.876542 Natus Vincere for LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.81
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Odd/Even Total Kills con 9950% y Both Teams Slay a Dragon con 5200%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $649,5K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
