LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

$94,9K Vol
20 sept 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
NightBirds 100.0%
eSuba 0.1%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Game 1 Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Game 2 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Game 3 Winner se sitúa tercero con 9995%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $94,9K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Game 1 Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game 1 Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $21.0K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Game 2 Winner (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 2 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
  • Game 3 Winner (9995%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9995%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Game 3 Winner, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Match Winner (9995%), Odd/Even Total Kills (9995%) y Any Player Quadra Kill (9050%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Penta Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$21.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$14.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9995.0%$10.2K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$35.7K9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Any Player Penta Kill9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%$59050¢-8950¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
11Game 4 Winner5050.0%$5975050¢-4950¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
26Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%950¢-850¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
30Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$5950¢-850¢
32O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$13.0K95¢
33O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$595¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5.0%95¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5.0%95¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5.0%95¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5.0%95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between NightBirds and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against eSuba.

This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against NightBirds.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 10:37 AM
    JCJC-Denton
    $5.60

    Bought 5.833325 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.96

  • 10:37 AM
    CHchliu
    $3.00

    Bought 60 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:37 AM
    CHchliu
    $3.00

    Bought 60 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:37 AM
    SKsklong
    $1.00

    Bought 20 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:33 AM
    TEtestsmith365
    $1.00

    Bought 20 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:24 AM
    4343d7fmu790og
    $1.10

    Bought 22 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:24 AM
    CHchliu
    $3.00

    Bought 60 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:24 AM
    CHchliu
    $3.00

    Bought 60 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:24 AM
    CHchliu
    $3.00

    Bought 60 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:24 AM
    BLbloodmaster
    $1,297.70

    Bought 1366 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.95

  • 10:22 AM
    4848928273
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner at 0.89

  • 10:18 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.76

    Bought 16 eSuba for LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 2 Winner at 0.11

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

BL1
bloodmaster
P&L del evento
-$1,198.83
Volumen
$47,482.13
Posiciones
NightBirdsNightBirdsUnder+2
042
0x048f…9992
P&L del evento
-$41.76
Volumen
$10,492.99
Posiciones
eSubaeSubaeSuba+1
A83
a8999
P&L del evento
+$1,337.36
Volumen
$10,133.68
Posiciones
OvereSubaeSuba+1
OC4
ocss
P&L del evento
-$57.58
Volumen
$6,117.77
Posiciones
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds+2
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
P&L del evento
-$37.86
Volumen
$5,641.59
Posiciones
eSubaeSuba
LE6
Leslielin
P&L del evento
+$486.44
Volumen
$5,261.56
Posiciones
eSubaeSubaeSuba
EZ7
ezMerge
P&L del evento
+$5.06
Volumen
$4,558.95
Posiciones
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds
0X8
0x0x23…h8c9
P&L del evento
-$485.16
Volumen
$3,900.62
Posiciones
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds+1

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Game 1 Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Game 2 Winner con 9995% y Game 3 Winner con 9995%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $94,9K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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