LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$459,9K Vol
8 oct 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
JD Gaming 74.5%
Natus Vincere 25.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 6250%. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? le sigue en segundo lugar con 6050%, mientras que Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor se sitúa tercero con 5000%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $459,9K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6250%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 6250¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6050%): Como la alternativa más viable, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? mantiene una probabilidad del 6050% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 6050¢.
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5000%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5000%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5000%) y Any Player Quadra Kill (5000%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Penta Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
23Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)4750.0%$23.1K4750¢-4650¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4550.0%$24550¢-4450¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$524350¢-4250¢
26O/U 2.5 Games4250.0%$1.5K4250¢-4150¢
27Game 1 Winner3350.0%$3.5K3350¢-3250¢
28Game 2 Winner3250.0%$1663250¢-3150¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
31Match Winner2650.0%$431.5K2650¢-2550¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:53 AM
    ——
    $1.20

    Bought 2.553192 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 01:53 AM
    ——
    $30.00

    Bought 55.555556 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 01:53 AM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 38.461539 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:52 AM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 106.382979 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 01:51 AM
    EVEVHS
    $10.00

    Bought 38.461539 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:51 AM
    CWcws31
    $100.00

    Bought 303.030304 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 01:46 AM
    CRCryingWhale
    $6.90

    Bought 9.2 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:46 AM
    CScsgamer11
    $549.30

    Bought 2112.692308 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:43 AM
    CHchet1101
    $300.00

    Bought 400 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:42 AM
    HRHRTHRTJRTJ
    $105.04

    Bought 404 Natus Vincere for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:40 AM
    AFAFASFEWG
    $101.25

    Bought 135 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:40 AM
    VSVSDSDZGD
    $84.00

    Bought 112 JD Gaming for LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.75

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

441
0x4468…4625
P&L del evento
+$98.82
Volumen
$19,764.28
Posiciones
JD Gaming
DR2
drunkdegenerate
P&L del evento
+$75.00
Volumen
$14,999.95
Posiciones
JD Gaming
SK3
skadii
P&L del evento
-$74.89
Volumen
$14,981.97
Posiciones
Natus Vincere
LO4
lolpredict
P&L del evento
-$74.45
Volumen
$14,893.62
Posiciones
JD Gaming
UN5
Uniform123
P&L del evento
+$68.52
Volumen
$13,704.36
Posiciones
Natus Vincere
IC6
icarus31
P&L del evento
-$65.54
Volumen
$13,111.42
Posiciones
Natus Vincere
VI7
vibing123
P&L del evento
+$54.97
Volumen
$10,528.40
Posiciones
JD GamingJD Gaming
WH8
whatyouknowboutlove
P&L del evento
+$29.50
Volumen
$5,899.74
Posiciones
Natus VincereNatus Vincere

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 6250%, seguido de Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? con 6050% y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor con 5000%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $459,9K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

Empieza gratis