
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, O/U 3.5 Games domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 7050%. Odd/Even Total Kills le sigue en segundo lugar con 6950%, mientras que Odd/Even Total Kills se sitúa tercero con 5400%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $99,6K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- O/U 3.5 Games (7050%): Con la probabilidad más alta, O/U 3.5 Games cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 7050¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $7.6K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Odd/Even Total Kills (6950%): Como la alternativa más viable, Odd/Even Total Kills mantiene una probabilidad del 6950% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 6950¢.
- Odd/Even Total Kills (5400%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5400%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Odd/Even Total Kills, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Any Player Penta Kill (5250%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5150%) y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5000%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Slay a Dragon siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 7050.0% | $7.6K | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 2 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 3 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Game 4 Winner | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 33 | First Blood in Game 4? | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 34 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 35 | Game 1 Winner | 4350.0% | $11.3K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 36 | Game 2 Winner | 4250.0% | $7.0K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 37 | Game 3 Winner | 4250.0% | $7.4K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 38 | Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) | 4250.0% | $16.1K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 39 | Match Winner | 4150.0% | $47.7K | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 40 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3150.0% | $9.4K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 41 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 42 | Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5) | 1950.0% | $5.4K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 43 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Movistar KOI Fénix and TLN Pirates in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against TLN Pirates.
This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Oct 9, 2026
- 01:45 PMLElejendsjian$24.60
Bought 60 TLN Pirates for Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) at 0.41
- 01:16 PM——$3.29
Bought 4.910448 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67
- 01:16 PM0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408$14.07
Bought 21 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67
- 01:16 PMTOTomoX$6.70
Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67
- 01:16 PM7V7ViziCapitale$1,330.93
Bought 4159.15 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.32
- 01:16 PM——$67.32
Bought 192.352 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.35
- 01:13 PM——$23.80
Bought 39.666667 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) at 0.6
- 01:13 PM7V7ViziCapitale$476.12
Bought 820.9 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) at 0.58
- 01:12 PM7V7ViziCapitale$430.00
Bought 1000 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winner at 0.43
- 01:12 PM——$21.50
Bought 50 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winner at 0.43
- 01:12 PM0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408$12.18
Bought 21 TLN Pirates for LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner at 0.58
- 01:12 PMONonseason$2.00
Bought 3.448276 TLN Pirates for LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner at 0.58
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs"?
A fecha de la última actualización, O/U 3.5 Games lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 7050%, seguido de Odd/Even Total Kills con 6950% y Odd/Even Total Kills con 5400%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $99,6K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
