
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, O/U 3.5 Games domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. O/U 4.5 Games le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor se sitúa tercero con 9050%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $381K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- O/U 3.5 Games (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, O/U 3.5 Games cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $516 de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- O/U 4.5 Games (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, O/U 4.5 Games mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9050%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9050%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9050%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9050%) y Odd/Even Total Kills (5050%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Quadra Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 9995.0% | $516 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 4.5 Games | 9995.0% | $138 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | $43 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 950.0% | $43 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 15 | Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5) | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 16 | Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5) | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 17 | Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+2.5) | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 18 | Game 4 Winner | 5.0% | $68.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $83.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) | 5.0% | $122 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Heretics Academy and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Final Four, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Team Heretics Academy.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Sep 6, 2026
- 08:45 AMPRpredictesport$12.50
Bought 24.509802 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 08:34 AMELElyoyafanboy$1.00
Bought 2 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 08:32 AMGAgabron13$1.00
Bought 2 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 08:04 AMAGAGBetsCo$6.71
Bought 9.867646 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) at 0.68
- 07:17 AMAGAGBetsCo$2.34
Bought 8.666665 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27
- 07:10 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.686273 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 07:10 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.76 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 07:06 AMAGAGBetsCo$1.63
Bought 6.037036 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27
- 07:05 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.76 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 07:05 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.686273 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 06:17 AMLULukasz273$24.00
Bought 48 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 05:41 AM0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418$4.94
Bought 6.5 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.76
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four"?
A fecha de la última actualización, O/U 3.5 Games lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de O/U 4.5 Games con 9995% y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor con 9050%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $381K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
