LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs

$380,7K Vol
25 sept 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Kawaii Kiwis 100.0%
Guinea Pink 0.1%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Game 2 Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Game 4 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que O/U 3.5 Games se sitúa tercero con 9995%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $380,7K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Game 2 Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game 2 Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $51.3K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Game 4 Winner (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 4 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9995%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9995%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia O/U 3.5 Games, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye O/U 4.5 Games (9995%), Odd/Even Total Kills (9100%) y Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9050%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Any Player Quadra Kill siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$51.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 4 Winner9995.0%$51.0K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.1K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$1589995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9100.0%$699100¢-9000¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%$695150¢-5050¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$695000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$695000¢-4900¢
24Game Handicap: KWK (-1.5) vs Guinea Pink (+1.5)4900.0%$3114900¢-4800¢
25Game Handicap: KWK (-2.5) vs Guinea Pink (+2.5)4900.0%$1304900¢-4800¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%—950¢-850¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%—950¢-850¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%—950¢-850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
31Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%—950¢-850¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
35Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%$6950¢50¢
37Game 1 Winner5.0%$37.4K5¢95¢
38Game 3 Winner5.0%$64.8K5¢95¢
39Match Winner5.0%$174.4K5¢95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Guinea Pink and Kawaii Kiwis in the LES Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Guinea Pink" if Guinea Pink win the match against Kawaii Kiwis.

This market will resolve to "Kawaii Kiwis" if Kawaii Kiwis win the match against Guinea Pink.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 12:03 PM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380953 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:00 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $8.40

    Bought 20 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:58 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $2.10

    Bought 5 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:58 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $4.20

    Bought 10 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:48 AM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 11.47541 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.61

  • 11:38 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 3.8 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.75

  • 11:34 AM
    KUkuku1472589
    $30.15

    Bought 70.11628 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:13 AM
    SASatisfactory8
    $14.25

    Bought 25 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:11 AM
    KUkuku1472589
    $98.92

    Bought 253.629773 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.39

  • 11:01 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.04

    Bought 1.625 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.64

  • 10:57 AM
    UUUUYYDS
    $47.36

    Bought 128 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.37

  • 10:56 AM
    Q1q136084
    $46.11

    Bought 124.621622 Guinea Pink for LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.37

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

UE1
uerri6
P&L del evento
-$1,095.50
Volumen
$3,422.52
Posiciones
Guinea Pink
LE2
LewLewZZ
P&L del evento
+$1.75
Volumen
$3,335.40
Posiciones
Kawaii Kiwis
LO3
looppau
P&L del evento
+$1.40
Volumen
$2,800.26
Posiciones
Kawaii Kiwis
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
P&L del evento
-$1,285.26
Volumen
$2,657.77
Posiciones
Guinea Pink
CO5
ColinHe
P&L del evento
-$922.22
Volumen
$2,436.81
Posiciones
Guinea Pink
AO6
aomendushen008
P&L del evento
+$160.74
Volumen
$2,375.11
Posiciones
Kawaii Kiwis
LU7
lucianow34
P&L del evento
+$733.65
Volumen
$1,353.44
Posiciones
Kawaii Kiwis
BA8
Baosen0412
P&L del evento
-$64.55
Volumen
$868.88
Posiciones
Guinea Pink

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Guinea Pink vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Game 2 Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Game 4 Winner con 9995% y O/U 3.5 Games con 9995%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $380,7K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

Empieza gratis