LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$598,9K Vol
7 oct 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Shopify Rebellion 56.5%
GAM Esports 43.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, First Blood in Game 1? domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 5400%. Any Player Penta Kill le sigue en segundo lugar con 5150%, mientras que Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors se sitúa tercero con 5100%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $598,9K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • First Blood in Game 1? (5400%): Con la probabilidad más alta, First Blood in Game 1? cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 5400¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Any Player Penta Kill (5150%): Como la alternativa más viable, Any Player Penta Kill mantiene una probabilidad del 5150% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 5150¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5100%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5100%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5050%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5050%) y Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5050%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1First Blood in Game 1?5400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
2Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
17First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
19O/U 2.5 Games4800.0%$214800¢-4700¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4750.0%$364750¢-4650¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4750.0%$374750¢-4650¢
22Game 2 Winner4450.0%$1814450¢-4350¢
23Game 1 Winner4350.0%$204350¢-4250¢
24Match Winner4350.0%$598.4K4350¢-4250¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
27Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)3300.0%$1333300¢-3200¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between GAM Esports and Shopify Rebellion in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against GAM Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 12:56 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:56 PM
    MAmack.lcvv
    $45.00

    Bought 75 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:54 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:54 PM
    SNsn-ow
    $1.00

    Bought 1.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:54 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 11.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Bought 83.333332 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    TEteardropsaidmyname
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1666.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

  • 12:54 PM
    ——
    $12.72

    Bought 31.02 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:44 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 7.317074 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.41

  • 12:44 PM
    THthaimeo
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.6

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

ST1
StasPanda
P&L del evento
-$62.50
Volumen
$12,500.00
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
VI2
vibing123
P&L del evento
+$50.07
Volumen
$10,012.93
Posiciones
GAM Esports
DR3
drunkdegenerate
P&L del evento
+$22.31
Volumen
$7,906.97
Posiciones
GAM Esports
TE4
teardropsaidmyname
P&L del evento
+$8.00
Volumen
$3,266.31
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
GO5
GongxifacaiRMB
P&L del evento
-$9.32
Volumen
$1,863.55
Posiciones
GAM Esports
LQ6
lq4821
P&L del evento
+$1.61
Volumen
$1,433.82
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
CA7
CAcap
P&L del evento
+$5.00
Volumen
$1,000.00
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
OM8
omnibus-076daa
P&L del evento
+$5.00
Volumen
$940.05
Posiciones
GAM Esports

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

A fecha de la última actualización, First Blood in Game 1? lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 5400%, seguido de Any Player Penta Kill con 5150% y Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors con 5100%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $598,9K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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