
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 6350%. Game 1 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 5950%, mientras que Game 2 Winner se sitúa tercero con 5950%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $114,4K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Match Winner (6350%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 6350¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $113.4K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Game 1 Winner (5950%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 1 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 5950% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 5950¢.
- Game 2 Winner (5950%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5950%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Game 2 Winner, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Any Player Penta Kill (5150%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5100%) y Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5050%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Both Teams Slay a Dragon siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 6350.0% | $113.4K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 5950.0% | $488 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 5950.0% | $161 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 22 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4750.0% | $5 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 23 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 24 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 25 | Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 3650.0% | $325 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 26 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 27 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion.
This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Oct 7, 2026
- 12:54 AMKKKKlen$3.52
Bought 5.5 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.64
- 12:54 AMCRcrispychook99$1,120.28
Bought 1778.23 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.63
- 12:38 AMCHchet1101$300.00
Bought 476.190477 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.63
- 12:25 AM——$50.00
Bought 79.365078 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.63
- 12:15 AM10100to1001$3.00
Bought 7.894737 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.38
- 12:15 AM0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0$1.00
Bought 2.631579 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.38
- 12:13 AMSHShabnam33$1.00
Bought 1.666667 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.6
- 12:11 AM10100to1001$7.00
Bought 18.421053 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.38
- 12:10 AMSKskadii$59.57
Bought 161 FlyQuest for Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.37
- 12:04 AMLUlukers00$4.82
Sold 13.02 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.37
- 12:04 AMLUlukers00$4.95
Bought 13.026316 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.38
- 12:01 AMTHTheThighMaster$5.00
Bought 13.157895 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.38
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 6350%, seguido de Game 1 Winner con 5950% y Game 2 Winner con 5950%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $114,4K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
