LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$591,7K Vol
8 oct 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Maryville University 100.0%
Disguised 0.1%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Game 3 Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. O/U 3.5 Games le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Both Teams Slay a Dragon se sitúa tercero con 9995%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $591,7K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Game 3 Winner (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game 3 Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $249.0K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, O/U 3.5 Games mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9995%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9995%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Slay a Dragon, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) (9995%), Odd/Even Total Kills (9050%) y Odd/Even Total Kills (9000%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Odd/Even Total Kills siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$249.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$5.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%—5155¢-5055¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
25Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon945.0%—945¢-845¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%—50¢50¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$95.3K5¢95¢
35Game 2 Winner5.0%$132.4K5¢95¢
36Game 4 Winner5.0%$150.9K5¢95¢
37Match Winner5.0%$265.1K5¢95¢
38O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$5.8K5¢95¢
39Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)5.0%$3.7K5¢95¢
40Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)5.0%$7.8K5¢95¢
41Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Disguised (+2.5)5.0%—5¢95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Disguised and Maryville University in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Maryville University.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Disguised.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 01:52 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.67

    Bought 8.06 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:52 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $75.17

    Bought 178.97 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:51 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $24.04

    Bought 41.44 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:51 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $3.98

    Bought 6.75 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 01:50 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $60.67

    Bought 144.45 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:50 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.53

    Bought 7.81 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $26.10

    Bought 45 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $32.00

    Bought 100 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.32

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $0.96

    Bought 3 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.32

  • 01:29 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $2.59

    Bought 6.17 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:23 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $8.40

    Bought 12.537312 Disguised for LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winner at 0.67

  • 01:04 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $83.00

    Bought 120.289854 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.69

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

691
0x6918…0027
P&L del evento
+$55.43
Volumen
$7,844.76
Posiciones
UnderUnderDisguised+3
BY2
BYTasb1
P&L del evento
-$13.74
Volumen
$4,712.41
Posiciones
OverOverMaryville University+1
NS3
ns9z
P&L del evento
-$99.19
Volumen
$4,299.78
Posiciones
DisguisedDisguised
LO4
loldot
P&L del evento
-$30.81
Volumen
$2,468.95
Posiciones
DisguisedOverOver
AN5
antec
P&L del evento
-$16.72
Volumen
$1,889.91
Posiciones
Maryville UniversityDisguisedOver+4
NO6
no1dodgersfan
P&L del evento
+$2.04
Volumen
$1,769.95
Posiciones
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+3
CS7
csgamer11
P&L del evento
+$43.27
Volumen
$1,716.99
Posiciones
Maryville University
PU8
purplegatto
P&L del evento
+$0.51
Volumen
$1,395.88
Posiciones
Maryville University

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Game 3 Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de O/U 3.5 Games con 9995% y Both Teams Slay a Dragon con 9995%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $591,7K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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