LoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$582,2K Vol
11 oct 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Disguised 66.5%
Cupid Esports 33.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 8450%. Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) le sigue en segundo lugar con 6350%, mientras que Both Teams Slay a Dragon se sitúa tercero con 5300%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $582,2K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) (8450%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 8450¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $11.8K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) (6350%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) mantiene una probabilidad del 6350% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 6350¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5300%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5300%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Both Teams Slay a Dragon, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5250%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5000%) y Any Player Penta Kill (5000%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Odd/Even Total Kills siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5)8450.0%$11.8K8450¢-8350¢
2Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5)6350.0%$9.0K6350¢-6250¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
33Game 4 Winner4450.0%$8274450¢-4350¢
34O/U 3.5 Games3750.0%$4.5K3750¢-3650¢
35Game 3 Winner3150.0%$106.9K3150¢-3050¢
36O/U 4.5 Games1650.0%$6.0K1650¢-1550¢
37Match Winner505.0%$104.6K505¢-405¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$171.0K5¢95¢
39Game 2 Winner5.0%$167.7K5¢95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Cupid Esports and Disguised in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Disguised.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Cupid Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 8450%, seguido de Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) con 6350% y Both Teams Slay a Dragon con 5300%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $582,2K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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