LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$102,8K Vol
13 sept 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Cloud9 84.5%
Shopify Rebellion 15.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 8450%. Game 1 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 7050%, mientras que Game 2 Winner se sitúa tercero con 7050%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $102,8K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Match Winner (8450%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 8450¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $70.5K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Game 1 Winner (7050%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 1 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 7050% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 7050¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (7050%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 7050%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Game 2 Winner, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Game 3 Winner (6950%), Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (6950%) y Game 4 Winner (6250%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como O/U 3.5 Games siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Match Winner8450.0%$70.5K8450¢-8350¢
2Game 1 Winner7050.0%$1.3K7050¢-6950¢
3Game 2 Winner7050.0%$7567050¢-6950¢
4Game 3 Winner6950.0%$1796950¢-6850¢
5Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)6950.0%$15.5K6950¢-6850¢
6Game 4 Winner6250.0%$1.7K6250¢-6150¢
7O/U 3.5 Games5750.0%$8.6K5750¢-5650¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
36First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
38First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
39First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
46Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)4050.0%$5.1K4050¢-3950¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4000.0%$6.3K4000¢-3900¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
50O/U 4.5 Games2250.0%$4.1K2250¢-2150¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 10:52 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $1.91

    Bought 3.031745 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.63

  • 10:52 AM
    XZxzc52
    $39.10

    Bought 102.894737 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:40 AM
    KAKalp0703
    $3.50

    Bought 9.210527 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:10 AM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.92

    Bought 6.929575 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.71

  • 10:09 AM
    KIkiwiiw
    $4.00

    Bought 22.222223 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.18

  • 09:59 AM
    QFqfq44
    $29.00

    Bought 34.939758 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:36 AM
    0X0x978BD4DB4c26bB0Be145b5A95b1113Bba6692aDd-1771856332657
    $1.10

    Sold 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $24.09

    Bought 75.27 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $17.81

    Bought 55.67 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:26 AM
    KOkocjo4vj
    $25.00

    Bought 30.120482 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:14 AM
    2323kka
    $23.00

    Bought 27.710841 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:13 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $3.47

    Bought 5.028983 Cloud9 for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.69

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

B71
0xB70c…8717
P&L del evento
-$8.33
Volumen
$29,973.09
Posiciones
Cloud9Cloud9
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
P&L del evento
+$82.47
Volumen
$15,653.51
Posiciones
Cloud9Cloud9
AN3
Anjun
P&L del evento
+$66.67
Volumen
$13,333.23
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
BY4
BYTasb001
P&L del evento
-$43.75
Volumen
$8,750.00
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
695
0x6918…0027
P&L del evento
+$5.39
Volumen
$7,406.41
Posiciones
UnderUnderCloud9+3
SI6
SimpleTony
P&L del evento
+$27.50
Volumen
$5,500.00
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
PU7
purplegatto
P&L del evento
-$75.51
Volumen
$5,070.49
Posiciones
Shopify Rebellion
KI8
kingflop
P&L del evento
+$21.57
Volumen
$4,309.73
Posiciones
Shopify RebellionOver

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 8450%, seguido de Game 1 Winner con 7050% y Game 2 Winner con 7050%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $102,8K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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