Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

4 nov 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Angie Nixon (D) 46.5%
Ashley Moody (R) 39.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Angie Nixon (D) domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 4250%. Ashley Moody (R) le sigue en segundo lugar con 4250%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza —, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Angie Nixon (D) (4250%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Angie Nixon (D) cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 4250¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Ashley Moody (R) (4250%): Como la alternativa más viable, Ashley Moody (R) mantiene una probabilidad del 4250% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 4250¢.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Angie Nixon (D)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
2Ashley Moody (R)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Sep 2, 2026

  • 09:03 AM
    PIpineappple
    $1.10

    Sold 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.11

  • 07:51 AM
    ANAntony82
    $4.60

    Sold 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.46

  • 07:51 AM
    $5.50

    Bought 10 No for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.55

  • 12:37 AM
    ANAntony82
    $4.70

    Sold 10 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.47

  • 12:37 AM
    ANAntony82
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Yes for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.53

Sep 1, 2026

  • 09:52 PM
    $1.37

    Sold 11.41 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.12

  • 07:05 PM
    FRFrankyFourFingers
    $2.40

    Bought 20 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.12

  • 06:32 PM
    AJAJSV
    $5.48

    Bought 54.8 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:19 PM
    ANAntony82
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:19 PM
    ANAntony82
    $1.00

    Bought 10 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:03 PM
    CHchessplayer
    $18.17

    Bought 20.89 Yes for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.87

  • 05:52 PM
    $0.17

    Sold 8.59 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.02

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Angie Nixon (D) lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 4250%, seguido de Ashley Moody (R) con 4250%. El volumen total negociado alcanza —, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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