Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches

$108,9K Vol
3 oct 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
PARIVISION 82.5%
Aurora 17.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 8150%. Game 2 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 7550%, mientras que Game 1 Winner se sitúa tercero con 7450%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $108,9K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • Match Winner (8150%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 8150¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $103.0K de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Game 2 Winner (7550%): Como la alternativa más viable, Game 2 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 7550% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 7550¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (7450%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 7450%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Game 1 Winner, tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) (5650%), First Blood in Game 1? (5500%) y First Blood in Game 2? (5500%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1Match Winner8150.0%$103.0K8150¢-8050¢
2Game 2 Winner7550.0%$1.4K7550¢-7450¢
3Game 1 Winner7450.0%$6.0K7450¢-7350¢
4Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)5650.0%$34.7K5650¢-5550¢
5First Blood in Game 1?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5450.0%$115450¢-5350¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?4900.0%$1004900¢-4800¢
18Any Player Rampage4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
20Any Player Rampage4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
21O/U 2.5 Games3550.0%$4913550¢-3450¢
22Any Player Rampage1900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
23Any Player Ultra Kill1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
24Any Player Ultra Kill1700.0%—1700¢-1600¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the Dota 2 Seeding match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Seeding Matches, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 01:00 AM
    ——
    $12.60

    Bought 15.36585 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 01:00 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 12:57 AM
    K2K2899743
    $10.00

    Bought 12.195122 PARIVISION for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.82

  • 12:56 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $94.04

    Bought 361.692308 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner at 0.26

  • 12:55 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $97.73

    Sold 227.27 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 12:53 AM
    AGagentcal
    $2.85

    Bought 5 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:53 AM
    AEAerodiavolo
    $100.00

    Bought 227.272728 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:53 AM
    FIFirstOne111
    $6.36

    Bought 11.157895 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:42 AM
    HUhumbwrld
    $40.00

    Bought 90.909091 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:42 AM
    FIFirstOne111
    $1.24

    Bought 2.175439 PARIVISION for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 12:26 AM
    0X0x3FfF7538082077dc366bD9c4b14e2A78ca81Bb71-1770730890398
    $23.00

    Bought 52.272728 Aurora for Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:22 AM
    DUDungdo89
    $1.14

    Bought 6 Aurora for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches at 0.19

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

0F1
0x0FDb…3107
P&L del evento
-$70.98
Volumen
$15,737.88
Posiciones
Aurora
GE2
GeorgeRe
P&L del evento
+$45.54
Volumen
$9,105.74
Posiciones
PARIVISION
VI3
vibing123
P&L del evento
-$135.12
Volumen
$9,010.72
Posiciones
Aurora
AC4
acorp
P&L del evento
-$10.88
Volumen
$6,732.38
Posiciones
PARIVISION
DR5
drunkdegenerate
P&L del evento
+$32.17
Volumen
$6,649.64
Posiciones
AuroraAurora
OM6
omnibus-076daa
P&L del evento
+$71.76
Volumen
$5,943.64
Posiciones
PARIVISION
CO7
coolz122
P&L del evento
-$27.77
Volumen
$5,554.97
Posiciones
Aurora
SI8
SimpleTony
P&L del evento
+$26.25
Volumen
$5,250.00
Posiciones
Aurora

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches"?

A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 8150%, seguido de Game 2 Winner con 7550% y Game 1 Winner con 7450%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $108,9K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

Empieza gratis