
Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs
Resumen Principal
Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.
Actualmente, Match Winner domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 7600%. Map 2 Winner le sigue en segundo lugar con 6350%, mientras que Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) se sitúa tercero con 5650%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $575,9K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.
Desglose de Niveles Competitivos
Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:
🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante
- Match Winner (7600%): Con la probabilidad más alta, Match Winner cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 7600¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $460.9K de volumen.
🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes
- Map 2 Winner (6350%): Como la alternativa más viable, Map 2 Winner mantiene una probabilidad del 6350% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 6350¢.
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) (5650%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 5650%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5), tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.
🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)
Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:
- Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) (5000%), Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5000%) y Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5000%).
- Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) siguen atrayendo un interés notable.
Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios
La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:
| Rango | Resultado Previsto | Probabilidad | Volumen | Comprar Sí (Coste) | Comprar No (Coste) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 7600.0% | $460.9K | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Winner | 6350.0% | $55.6K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 3 | Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) | 5650.0% | $817 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 4 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3300.0% | $343 | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 13 | Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 50.0% | $158 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Reglas de Resolución
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NIP and magic in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against magic.
This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against NIP.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Actividad de Trading
Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.
Sep 27, 2026
- 12:02 PMCScsgod$222.00
Bought 426.923077 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 12:00 PMGCgczap3344$4.00
Bought 8.163266 NIP for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.49
- 11:57 AMKAkapulka$25.00
Bought 48.076922 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 11:50 AML0l0xa$2.62
Bought 5.346939 NIP for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.49
- 11:50 AM0X0x1d8B30f79Daf828f99f6B65FC8F7732Eb2D5Cc69-1781147873399$30.00
Bought 57.692308 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 11:48 AM0X0x7FfD66b4F6e05C189121b9C4715B48c8fa5C08Fa-1778424760882$36.00
Bought 69.23077 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 11:47 AMSUsuntori$95.23
Bought 194.346939 NIP for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.49
- 11:18 AMTUTupav$10.00
Bought 19.23077 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 11:17 AMFAfart084$70.00
Bought 134.615385 magic for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.52
- 11:17 AMRERezachokZ$1.50
Bought 2.5 magic for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) at 0.6
- 11:16 AMBUBukerjob$240.00
Bought 489.795919 NIP for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.49
- 11:14 AML0l0xa$5.18
Bought 10.571429 NIP for Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs at 0.49
Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs"?
A fecha de la última actualización, Match Winner lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 7600%, seguido de Map 2 Winner con 6350% y Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) con 5650%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $575,9K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.
