Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs

$364,7K Vol
26 sept 2026
Active
Tendencia de Probabilidad
Astralis 60.5%
100 Thieves 39.5%

Resumen Principal

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, O/U 2.5 Games domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 9995%. Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) le sigue en segundo lugar con 9995%, mientras que Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) se sitúa tercero con 9995%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $364,7K, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Desglose de Niveles Competitivos

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9995%): Con la probabilidad más alta, O/U 2.5 Games cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 9995¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $520 de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) (9995%): Como la alternativa más viable, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) mantiene una probabilidad del 9995% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 9995¢.
  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) (9995%): En tercer lugar con una probabilidad del 9995%, el mercado muestra un escepticismo prudente hacia Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5), tratándolo como un comodín externo salvo que cambie el impulso.

🥉 Nivel 3: Las opciones de cola larga (suman ~0%)

Más allá de las tres primeras opciones, se sigue un amplio campo de variables macro y resultados poco probables. Aunque sus probabilidades individuales son bajas, son coberturas clave para los operadores especulativos:

  • Opciones alternativas: Esto incluye Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5950%), Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) (5000%) y Match Winner (3450%).
  • Volumen especulativo: A pesar de su baja probabilidad estadística, ciertos contratos de cola larga como Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 siguen atrayendo un interés notable.

Panel Integral de Libro de Órdenes y Precios

La siguiente tabla detalla el desglose completo de precios de contratos, probabilidades y profundidad de mercado para todos los resultados de este pool de predicción:

RangoResultado PrevistoProbabilidadVolumenComprar Sí (Coste)Comprar No (Coste)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5209995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55950.0%$385950¢-5850¢
5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Match Winner3450.0%$169.5K3450¢-3350¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
8Map 2 Winner5.0%$96.6K5¢95¢
9Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)5.0%$6.7K5¢95¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%$1645¢95¢
11Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)5.0%$265¢95¢
12Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%—5¢95¢
13Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)5.0%—5¢95¢

Reglas de Resolución

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Astralis in the Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against Astralis.

This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against 100 Thieves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Actividad de Trading

Aquí está la actividad de trading de este evento.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:22 PM
    NENegyedikaccount
    $2.60

    Bought 5 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.52

  • 12:22 PM
    BABACKTESTEOCARAIO1
    $99.69

    Bought 199.37 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.5

  • 12:22 PM
    GOgonnachangelater
    $51.00

    Bought 104.081633 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:22 PM
    DADarkzaoGod
    $9.95

    Sold 19.13 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.52

  • 12:22 PM
    0X0x299f1e05b122dddA46E4199093F05234F3732C50-1776101428897
    $25.46

    Bought 53.041667 Astralis for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.48

  • 12:22 PM
    DADarkzaoGod
    $100.00

    Sold 192.3 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.52

  • 12:21 PM
    DADarkzaoGod
    $100.00

    Sold 192.3 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.52

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x299f1e05b122dddA46E4199093F05234F3732C50-1776101428897
    $25.20

    Bought 54.782084 Astralis for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:21 PM
    DADarkzaoGod
    $19.86

    Sold 36.77 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.54

  • 12:21 PM
    0X0x93078B5DD1C34D0F288d2F51B23f1347520D9dA3-1775700757892
    $4.50

    Bought 10 Astralis for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.45

  • 12:21 PM
    HAhanssere
    $99.73

    Bought 174.96138 100 Thieves for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.57

  • 12:21 PM
    BABACKTESTEOCARAIO1
    $242.11

    Bought 504.400209 Astralis for Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs at 0.48

Carteras Ballena que Apuestan en Este Evento

HU1
humbleboy
P&L del evento
+$16.16
Volumen
$7,300.37
Posiciones
100 Thieves
VI2
vibing123
P&L del evento
-$108.00
Volumen
$7,199.98
Posiciones
100 Thieves
WI3
Wiretransferxyz
P&L del evento
+$79.62
Volumen
$5,307.44
Posiciones
Astralis
LO4
lockin2026
P&L del evento
+$66.86
Volumen
$4,457.00
Posiciones
Astralis
F45
0xf483…9237
P&L del evento
+$39.44
Volumen
$1,577.76
Posiciones
Astralis
Q16
q136084
P&L del evento
+$9.98
Volumen
$665.09
Posiciones
Astralis
BO7
bosstariro
P&L del evento
+$8.49
Volumen
$566.04
Posiciones
Astralis
BR8
bravewarriorrrrrr
P&L del evento
-$12.36
Volumen
$535.25
Posiciones
100 Thieves100 Thieves

Preguntas Frecuentes

¿Cuál es el consenso actual del mercado sobre "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs"?

A fecha de la última actualización, O/U 2.5 Games lidera como favorito con una probabilidad de victoria del 9995%, seguido de Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) con 9995% y Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5) con 9995%. El volumen total negociado alcanza $364,7K, lo que indica una gran liquidez y participación.

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