
WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner
核心摘要
根據「WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Marta Kostyuk 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Amanda Anisimova 以 4,950% 位居第二,Janice Tjen 以 4,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $840,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Marta Kostyuk (5,050%):Marta Kostyuk 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $10 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Amanda Anisimova (4,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Amanda Anisimova 保持著 4,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,950¢。
- Janice Tjen (4,950%):以 4,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Janice Tjen 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Taylor Townsend (4,950%)、Moyuka Uchijima (4,950%),以及 Panna Udvardy (4,950%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Xinyu Wang 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marta Kostyuk | 5050.0% | $10 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Amanda Anisimova | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 3 | Janice Tjen | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 4 | Taylor Townsend | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Moyuka Uchijima | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 6 | Panna Udvardy | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Xinyu Wang | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Renata Zarazua | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Shuai Zhang | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Carol Zhao | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Diana Shnaider | 4900.0% | $10 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 12 | Elina Svitolina | 2700.0% | $10 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 13 | Linda Noskova | 2600.0% | $10 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 14 | Jessica Pegula | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 15 | Coco Gauff | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 16 | Mirra Andreeva | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 17 | Iga Swiatek | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 18 | Naomi Osaka | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 19 | Belinda Bencic | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 20 | Iva Jovic | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 21 | Anna Kalinskaya | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 22 | Madison Keys | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Barbora Krejcikova | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 24 | Alexandra Eala | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 25 | Sorana Cirstea | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 26 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 27 | Maja Chwalinska | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 28 | Elise Mertens | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 29 | Marie Bouzkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 30 | Emma Navarro | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 31 | Anastasia Potapova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 32 | Jelena Ostapenko | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 33 | Clara Tauson | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 34 | Ann Li | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 35 | Maria Sakkari | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 36 | Leylah Fernandez | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 37 | Donna Vekic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 38 | Katerina Siniakova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 39 | Bianca Andreescu | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 40 | Nikola Bartunkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 41 | Sara Bejlek | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 42 | Anna Blinkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 43 | Lois Boisson | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 44 | Anna Bondar | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 45 | Katie Boulter | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 46 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 47 | Cadence Brace | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 48 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 49 | Kayla Cross | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 50 | Kayla Day | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 51 | Magdalena Frech | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 52 | Talia Gibson | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 53 | Viktorija Golubic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 54 | Leolia Jeanjean | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 55 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 56 | Maya Joint | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 57 | Emerson Jones | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 58 | Anhelina Kalinina | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 59 | Daria Kasatkina | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 60 | McCartney Kessler | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 61 | Alina Korneeva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 62 | Tamara Korpatsch | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 63 | Magda Linette | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 64 | Eva Lys | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 65 | Tatjana Maria | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 66 | Rebecca Marino | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 67 | Caty McNally | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 68 | Camila Osorio | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 69 | Alycia Parks | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 70 | Diane Parry | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 71 | Karolina Pliskova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 72 | Yulia Putintseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 73 | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 74 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 75 | Antonia Ruzic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 76 | Liudmila Samsonova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 77 | Katherine Sebov | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 78 | Solana Sierra | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 79 | Zeynep Sonmez | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 80 | Rebecca Sramkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 81 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 82 | Peyton Stearns | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 83 | Sloane Stephens | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 84 | Lanlana Tararudee | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 85 | Tereza Valentova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 86 | Aryna Sabalenka | 2100.0% | $10 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 87 | Elena Rybakina | 1400.0% | $10 | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 88 | Polina Kudermetova | 155.0% | $10 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 89 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 150.0% | $10 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the winner of the National Bank Open presented by Rogers (WTA 1000 Toronto 2026), currently scheduled for August 1 – August 13, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the WTA (wtatennis.com) or National Bank Open (nationalbankopen.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Marta Kostyuk 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Amanda Anisimova(4,950%),以及 Janice Tjen(4,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $840,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
