Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

$288.8K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Sentinels 92.7%
2GAME Esports 7.3%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $288.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%):Map 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $79.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5) 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (9,265%)、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,050%),以及 Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5) (8,350%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$79.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)9995.0%$6519995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
4Match Winner9265.0%$91.5K9265¢-9165¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
6Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)8350.0%$20.7K8350¢-8250¢
7Map 2 Winner8200.0%$75.7K8200¢-8100¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55450.0%$475450¢-5350¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55200.0%$175200¢-5100¢
10Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
12Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$485000¢-4900¢
14Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$425000¢-4900¢
17Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-3.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-4.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-5.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+5.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-6.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+6.5)4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23O/U 2.5 Games1200.0%$20.7K1200¢-1100¢
24Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5950.0%950¢-850¢
25Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5950.0%$49950¢-850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Sentinels and 2GAME Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against 2GAME Esports.

This market will resolve to "2GAME Esports" if 2GAME Esports win the match against Sentinels.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:57 PM
    ZEZEROTOHEROii
    $35.00

    Bought 81.395347 Sentinels for Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:55 PM
    LQlq4821
    $23.50

    Bought 54.651161 Sentinels for Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:55 PM
    LAlakd43ff
    $20.00

    Bought 29.85 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.67

  • 08:54 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $13.20

    Bought 20 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $13.20

    Bought 20 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $13.20

    Bought 20 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $13.20

    Bought 20 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    IWIwoleu
    $13.20

    Bought 20 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    IGigot50k
    $47.45

    Bought 73 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.65

  • 08:53 PM
    TATaiethc
    $150.00

    Bought 211.267603 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.71

  • 08:53 PM
    WEWendy-007
    $69.97

    Sold 99.95 Sentinels for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.7

  • 08:53 PM
    PEpekpym
    $2.00

    Bought 5.555554 2GAME Esports for Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 Winner at 0.36

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ZO1
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
-$143.53
Volume
$11,752.26
Positions
2GAME Esports
QU2
quavoo
Event PnL
-$27.25
Volume
$8,780.00
Positions
2GAME Esports2GAME EsportsOver
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$99.09
Volume
$6,605.69
Positions
Sentinels
LA4
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$33.82
Volume
$5,435.34
Positions
Sentinels2GAME EsportsSentinels+1
ON5
oneheadedtiger
Event PnL
+$44.42
Volume
$5,054.00
Positions
SentinelsSentinels
LM6
lmtscapt
Event PnL
+$7.42
Volume
$4,550.57
Positions
SentinelsSentinelsUnder+5
FO7
forget4
Event PnL
+$4.55
Volume
$3,999.96
Positions
2GAME Esports
DA8
Dalibor32
Event PnL
-$14.34
Volume
$3,108.13
Positions
2GAME Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)(9,995%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $288.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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