Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

根據「Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Qatar 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場；Saudi Arabia 以 5,000% 位居第二，UAE 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Qatar (5,000%)：Qatar 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Saudi Arabia (5,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Saudi Arabia 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
• UAE (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 UAE 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.