Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

$583.8K Vol
2026年8月1日
Active
機率趨勢
BBL Esports 100.0%
Gentle Mates 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $583.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $374.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,995%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,995%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$374.5K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
6Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs BBL Esports (+4.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)5.0%$54095¢
16Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)5.0%95¢
17Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5)5.0%$5095¢
18Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.55.0%$5095¢
19Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.55.0%$5095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against Gentle Mates.

This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against BBL Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:09 AM
    SOSONYKI
    $1.36

    Bought 2.385963 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 08:03 AM
    AVAviloll
    $1.75

    Bought 3.070174 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:50 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $8.84

    Bought 15.51 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:41 AM
    RAransack
    $7.05

    Bought 21.363635 BBL Esports for Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) at 0.33

  • 07:26 AM
    SOSONYKI
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754384 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:22 AM
    THTheNextBigShort
    $11.97

    Bought 21 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 07:03 AM
    QUquavoo
    $4.05

    Bought 9 Gentle Mates for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner at 0.45

  • 06:58 AM
    HEHenAl3x06
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.57

  • 06:00 AM
    OLoliveiraielson
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:59 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $14.12

    Bought 25.21 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:58 AM
    PApakj7yyt33
    $30.00

    Bought 53.57 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

  • 05:58 AM
    LAlakd43ff
    $5.00

    Bought 8.93 BBL Esports for Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.56

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ES1
esportGG
Event PnL
+$44,523.58
Volume
$122,382.39
Positions
BBL EsportsBBL EsportsGentle Mates
NE2
neurodivergentBet
Event PnL
-$24,451.21
Volume
$50,933.66
Positions
Gentle Mates
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$19,532.21
Volume
$25,717.19
Positions
BBL Esports
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$5,053.24
Volume
$25,023.52
Positions
Gentle MatesGentle MatesBBL Esports
CR5
cruzNBA
Event PnL
+$3,190.64
Volume
$23,823.99
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL Esports
166
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$853.12
Volume
$19,700.23
Positions
BBL EsportsBBL EsportsBBL Esports
MI7
minji
Event PnL
+$4,662.36
Volume
$15,420.11
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL EsportsBBL Esports
XY8
xytest
Event PnL
+$2,526.59
Volume
$12,434.56
Positions
Gentle MatesBBL EsportsBBL Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $583.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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