Commanders vs. Ravens

$429.2K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
機率趨勢
Ravens 97.2%
Commanders 2.8%

核心摘要

根據「Commanders vs. Ravens」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 15.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 17.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，O/U 19.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $429.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 15.5 (9,995%)：O/U 15.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 17.5 (9,995%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 17.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • O/U 19.5 (9,995%)：以 9,995% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 19.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 21.5 (9,995%)、O/U 23.5 (9,995%)，以及 Ravens O/U 13.5 (9,955%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Ravens O/U 16.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 15.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 17.59995.0%$659995¢-9895¢
3O/U 19.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 21.59995.0%$19995¢-9895¢
5O/U 23.59995.0%$6019995¢-9895¢
6Ravens O/U 13.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
7Ravens O/U 16.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
81H Spread -2.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
91Q Spread -0.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
101Q Spread -1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
111Q Spread -2.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
121Q O/U 1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
131Q O/U 4.59955.0%$1009955¢-9855¢
141Q O/U 7.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
151Q O/U 10.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
161Q O/U 13.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
17Ravens 1H O/U 7.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
18Ravens 1H O/U 9.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
19Ravens 1H O/U 11.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
201Q Spread -3.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
211Q Spread -4.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
22O/U 29.59575.0%$2.7K9575¢-9475¢
23Spread -4.59555.0%$12.5K9555¢-9455¢
24Spread -1.59500.0%$6619500¢-9400¢
25Spread -3.59455.0%$116.1K9455¢-9355¢
26Spread -2.59345.0%$6.3K9345¢-9245¢
27Spread -6.59060.0%$1.1K9060¢-8960¢
28Ravens O/U 19.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
29Ravens O/U 18.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
30Ravens O/U 22.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
311H O/U 17.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
321H O/U 18.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
33O/U 33.58400.0%$34.8K8400¢-8300¢
34O/U 34.57700.0%$10.5K7700¢-7600¢
35O/U 35.57400.0%$1.1K7400¢-7300¢
36O/U 27.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
37O/U 25.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
38O/U 37.56550.0%$1946550¢-6450¢
39O/U 31.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
40O/U 45.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
41O/U 43.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
422H Spread -2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
432H Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
442H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Commanders O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 39.55000.0%$1935000¢-4900¢
47O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 51.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Commanders O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Commanders O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Commanders O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Commanders O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Ravens O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-245000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-185000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-125000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-135000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Exact Margin: Ravens by 14-205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Exact Margin: Ravens by 21+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76O/U 41.54450.0%$2.4K4450¢-4350¢
77O/U 47.52000.0%$1.3K2000¢-1900¢
78Commanders 1H O/U 6.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
79Commanders 1H O/U 10.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
80O/U 53.5650.0%$22650¢-550¢
81Commanders vs. Ravens155.0%$238.7K155¢-55¢
821H Moneyline45.0%—45¢55¢
831Q Moneyline45.0%—45¢55¢
84Commanders 1H O/U 8.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00PM ET:

If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".

If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:43 PM
    NInigiri99
    $74.10

    Bought 130 Ravens for Spread: Ravens (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 09:43 PM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $1.00

    Bought 11.11111 Over for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 53.5 at 0.09

  • 09:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $22.96

    Bought 56 Ravens for Spread: Ravens (-6.5) at 0.41

  • 09:39 PM
    NInigiri99
    $29.12

    Bought 56 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:39 PM
    0X0x3E7C5Ca2befae15F098c8020b056aBaEC7D1B746-1785258737687
    $24.00

    Bought 54.545453 Under for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 33.5 at 0.44

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $196.56

    Bought 378 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.32

    Bought 16 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $754.00

    Bought 1450 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.32

    Bought 16 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.84

    Bought 17 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $168.08

    Bought 382 Under for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 33.5 at 0.44

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.84

    Bought 17 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$78,855.81
Volume
$204,168.42
Positions
BALRavensOver+3
LA2
laozishudaosan
Event PnL
-$34,876.66
Volume
$112,680.20
Positions
Commanders
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$1,504.58
Volume
$83,672.70
Positions
RavensWAS
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$25,442.02
Volume
$70,779.92
Positions
WASCommandersRavens+8
FE5
Feromont
Event PnL
+$5,900.03
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Ravens
CA6
CAcap
Event PnL
-$5,182.89
Volume
$12,781.00
Positions
WASCommandersWAS+1
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$3,557.15
Volume
$12,089.96
Positions
WASUnderCommanders+3
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1,848.08
Volume
$11,839.57
Positions
CommandersBALWAS+1

常見問題

目前市場對「Commanders vs. Ravens」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 15.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 17.5（9,995%），以及 O/U 19.5（9,995%）。該市場總成交量已達 $429.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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