Falcons vs. Dolphins

$150.5K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
機率趨勢
Falcons 89.5%
Dolphins 10.5%

核心摘要

根據「Falcons vs. Dolphins」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 16.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 18.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，1H O/U 19.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $150.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 16.5 (9,995%)：O/U 16.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 18.5 (9,995%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 18.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • 1H O/U 19.5 (9,955%)：以 9,955% 的機率位列第三，市場對 1H O/U 19.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 1Q O/U 4.5 (9,955%)、1Q O/U 7.5 (9,955%)，以及 O/U 20.5 (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 1H Spread -2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 16.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 18.59995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
31H O/U 19.59955.0%$79955¢-9855¢
41Q O/U 4.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
51Q O/U 7.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
6O/U 20.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
71H Spread -2.59945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
81H Moneyline9945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
91H Spread -3.59945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
10O/U 24.59380.0%$2669380¢-9280¢
111Q Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
121Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
131Q Spread -1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
141Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
151Q O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
161Q Spread -3.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
17Falcons vs. Dolphins8950.0%$85.0K8950¢-8850¢
18Spread -1.58600.0%$3548600¢-8500¢
19Spread -2.58350.0%$6.9K8350¢-8250¢
20O/U 30.58350.0%$88350¢-8250¢
21Spread -3.57900.0%$15.1K7900¢-7800¢
22Spread -4.57650.0%$8.2K7650¢-7550¢
23Spread -5.57250.0%$3.5K7250¢-7150¢
24Spread -6.57100.0%$1627100¢-7000¢
25O/U 26.57100.0%$2357100¢-7000¢
26O/U 22.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
27O/U 34.56900.0%$6736900¢-6800¢
28O/U 35.56500.0%$11.1K6500¢-6400¢
29O/U 36.55850.0%$18.3K5850¢-5750¢
30O/U 28.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
31O/U 46.55400.0%$15400¢-5300¢
32O/U 32.55250.0%$35250¢-5150¢
33O/U 37.55250.0%$865250¢-5150¢
342H Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
352H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Dolphins O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Falcons O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 38.55000.0%$1505000¢-4900¢
39O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 44.55000.0%$1295000¢-4900¢
41O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 52.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 56.55000.0%$785000¢-4900¢
44Dolphins O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Dolphins O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Dolphins O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Dolphins O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Falcons O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Falcons O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Falcons O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Falcons O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-245000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-185000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-125000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-135000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Exact Margin: Dolphins by 14-205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Exact Margin: Dolphins by 21+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
662H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Falcons 1H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Falcons 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Falcons 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
762H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
772H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78O/U 42.53250.0%$93250¢-3150¢
79O/U 48.51250.0%$1171250¢-1150¢
801Q O/U 10.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
811Q O/U 13.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
821Q Spread -4.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
83O/U 54.5455.0%$78455¢-355¢
84Dolphins 1H O/U 6.555.0%—55¢45¢
85Dolphins 1H O/U 8.555.0%—55¢45¢
86Dolphins 1H O/U 10.555.0%—55¢45¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET:

If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons".

If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:45 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5 at 0.82

  • 09:42 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $9.90

    Bought 18 Under for ATL vs. MIA: O/U 37.5 at 0.55

  • 09:33 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $3.99

    Bought 7 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 38.5 at 0.57

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5 at 0.8

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.176466 Over for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 24.5 at 0.85

  • 09:27 PM
    NInigiri99
    $15.25

    Bought 25 Falcons for Spread: Falcons (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 09:26 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.50

    Bought 5 ATL for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 09:26 PM
    NInigiri99
    $26.00

    Bought 52 ATL for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 09:26 PM
    ——
    $1.46

    Bought 2.807691 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:24 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $13.00

    Bought 25 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $5.72

    Bought 11 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.95

    Bought 5 ATL for Spread: ATL (-2.5) at 0.59

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$1,428.92
Volume
$32,433.00
Positions
FalconsATLATL+6
CA2
CAcap
Event PnL
-$1,451.40
Volume
$19,510.72
Positions
MIAMIAMIA+2
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$99.40
Volume
$15,342.51
Positions
FalconsATLUnder
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$611.28
Volume
$14,813.86
Positions
DolphinsMIAUnder+5
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$449.92
Volume
$7,587.69
Positions
OverMIA
AE6
0xAE82…3024
Event PnL
-$191.41
Volume
$7,051.28
Positions
FalconsUnderATL
0A7
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
-$275.93
Volume
$6,460.50
Positions
MIADolphins
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$753.72
Volume
$4,851.73
Positions
UnderFalcons

常見問題

目前市場對「Falcons vs. Dolphins」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 16.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 18.5（9,995%），以及 1H O/U 19.5（9,955%）。該市場總成交量已達 $150.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始