
NCAA Football 2026 Sun Belt Conference: Winner
核心摘要
根據「NCAA Football 2026 Sun Belt Conference: Winner」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,James Madison Dukes 以壓倒性的 2,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Old Dominion Monarchs 以 1,550% 位居第二,Troy Trojans 以 1,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- James Madison Dukes (2,550%):James Madison Dukes 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 2,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Old Dominion Monarchs (1,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Old Dominion Monarchs 保持著 1,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,550¢。
- Troy Trojans (1,000%):以 1,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Troy Trojans 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (900%)、Marshall Thundering Herd (800%),以及 Arkansas State Red Wolves (700%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison Dukes | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 2 | Old Dominion Monarchs | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 3 | Troy Trojans | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 4 | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 5 | Marshall Thundering Herd | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 6 | Arkansas State Red Wolves | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 7 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 8 | App State Mountaineers | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 10 | Georgia Southern Eagles | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 11 | Georgia State Panthers | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 12 | South Alabama Jaguars | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 13 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 14 | UL Monroe Warhawks | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sun Belt Football Championship Game, determining the champion of the Sun Belt Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026.
If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Sun Belt Conference (https://sunbelt.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「NCAA Football 2026 Sun Belt Conference: Winner」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,James Madison Dukes 以 2,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Old Dominion Monarchs(1,550%),以及 Troy Trojans(1,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
