LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

$68.2K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
機率趨勢
SU Esports 88.0%
Shark Attack 12.0%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 6,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,100% 位居第二,Any Player Quadra Kill 以 5,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $68.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) (6,400%):Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 保持著 5,100% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,100¢。
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,100%):以 5,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Quadra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)6400.0%$5.2K6400¢-6300¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
18Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20O/U 2.5 Games3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
21Game 1 Winner2150.0%$6.2K2150¢-2050¢
22Game 2 Winner2050.0%$22.2K2050¢-1950¢
23Match Winner1200.0%$34.6K1200¢-1100¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win the match against SU Esports.

This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against Shark Attack.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:44 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $9.72

    Bought 14.95 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:42 AM
    CUcute2212
    $8.00

    Bought 66.666665 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:41 AM
    CUcute2212
    $7.00

    Bought 58.333332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:40 AM
    CUcute2212
    $7.00

    Bought 58.333332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    OCocsssa
    $195.00

    Bought 300 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:36 AM
    WOwoshiliangzai
    $15.22

    Bought 126.833332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:36 AM
    SEses06war
    $24.20

    Sold 27.5 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

  • 08:05 AM
    COcooljit
    $78.20

    Bought 88.86 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

  • 07:47 AM
    0000e94b9b3fabd95338b8b23c36caae1d640e1339f
    $3.75

    Bought 18.75 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.2

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0xFBE8B1FCcF402e4C7A739f5989aAee17eC6fBb28-1778926848436
    $102.00

    Bought 443.478259 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.23

  • 07:40 AM
    DUduffycuck
    $14.18

    Bought 17.72 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.8

  • 07:40 AM
    CKckteam04
    $15.00

    Bought 17.04545 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$486.01
Volume
$32,125.29
Positions
SU EsportsSU EsportsSU Esports+1
302
0x30bf…5865
Event PnL
-$221.89
Volume
$12,073.66
Positions
SU Esports
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$263.81
Volume
$11,885.96
Positions
Shark Attack
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$384.69
Volume
$10,415.30
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$238.78
Volume
$5,100.07
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
LU6
lug
Event PnL
+$98.67
Volume
$3,947.00
Positions
SU Esports
FB7
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
-$11.53
Volume
$3,604.42
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
CZ8
czc663
Event PnL
-$12.42
Volume
$3,211.34
Positions
Shark Attack

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) 以 6,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,100%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill(5,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $68.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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