The International 2026: Most Banned Hero

根據「The International 2026: Most Banned Hero」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Puck 以壓倒性的 2,600% 獲勝機率主導市場；Shadow Fiend 以 2,600% 位居第二，Doom 以 2,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $1.3K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Puck (2,600%)：Puck 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 2,600¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $12 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Shadow Fiend (2,600%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Shadow Fiend 保持著 2,600% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,600¢。
• Doom (2,600%)：以 2,600% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Doom 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 Bane (2,600%)、Treant Protector (2,600%)，以及 Keeper of the Light (2,600%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Ember Spirit 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

This market will resolve to the listed hero banned the most times during The International 2026 (TI 2026), originally scheduled for August 13 – August 23, 2026.

Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this market, including forfeits in games that start.

A ban does not count if the game does not start.

In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher pick rate. In case a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically.

If a game does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market.

If the competition is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of The International 2026 are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Liquipedia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.