
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
核心摘要
根據「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 6,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 位居第二,Any Player Quadra Kill 以 5,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $62.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 6,500% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,500¢。
- Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%):以 5,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Quadra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,350%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 3 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5350.0% | $85 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5200.0% | $97 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4850.0% | $22 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 15 | Game 2 Winner | 4750.0% | $10 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Game 1 Winner | 4650.0% | $295 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 17 | Match Winner | 4450.0% | $53.3K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 21 | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | 2950.0% | $9.0K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against BNK FEARX.
This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against HANJIN BRION.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 20, 2026
- 08:43 PMRAraiztes$5.00
Bought 10.20408 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49
- 08:35 PMMAMarlian$50.00
Bought 84.74576 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.59
- 08:34 PMMAMarlian$50.00
Bought 87.719297 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.57
- 08:19 PMUKUkc22$4.50
Bought 10 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45
- 08:15 PMTITIppi88k$10.00
Bought 17.85714 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56
- 08:11 PMSUsukez$40.00
Bought 88.888887 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45
- 08:06 PM——$7.84
Bought 14 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56
- 08:04 PM——$2.16
Bought 4.8 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45
- 08:04 PMLOloloansonlolo$5.00
Bought 11.11111 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45
- 08:04 PMCSCSBBB$8.00
Bought 17.777776 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45
- 08:02 PM0X0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261$11,795.23
Bought 21062.91 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56
- 08:00 PMFOforgedinlol$25.00
Bought 44.64 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56
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常見問題
目前市場對「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill(5,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $62.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
