EWC CS2 2026: Total Knife Kills

1年1月1日
Resolved
機率趨勢
4-6 36.0%
7-9 31.0%
10+ 23.5%
1-3 10.5%
0 3.0%

核心摘要

根據「EWC CS2 2026: Total Knife Kills」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,4-6 以壓倒性的 3,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;7-9 以 3,100% 位居第二,10+ 以 2,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 4-6 (3,600%):4-6 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 7-9 (3,100%):作為最可行的替代選項,7-9 保持著 3,100% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,100¢。
  • 10+ (2,350%):以 2,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 10+ 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 1-3 (1,050%),以及 0 (300%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1-3 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
14-63600.0%3600¢-3500¢
27-93100.0%3100¢-3000¢
310+2350.0%2350¢-2250¢
41-31050.0%1050¢-950¢
50300.0%300¢-200¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve based on the total number of knife kills recorded across all completed maps of the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), scheduled for August 12, 2026 to August 23, 2026.

A knife kill is any kill credited in-game to a player using the knife (melee) against an opponent. Kills made with any other weapon, including the Zeus x27 taser, do not count. Every knife kill in every completed official map of the event counts individually toward the total.

Only maps played in the 32-team main event count, including both the group stage and the playoffs. Maps played in the Open Qualifiers, the Last Chance Qualifier, or any showmatch do not count.

The market resolves to the single range containing the final total number of knife kills at the conclusion of the event.

If the Counter-Strike 2 tournament at EWC 2026 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「EWC CS2 2026: Total Knife Kills」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,4-6 以 3,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 7-9(3,100%),以及 10+(2,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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