Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

$65.9K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
機率趨勢
Team Falcons 63.5%
Legacy 36.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 4,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $65.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) (5,050%):Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,800%):以 4,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,800%)、O/U 2.5 Games (4,500%),以及 Map 1 Winner (4,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
5O/U 2.5 Games4500.0%$764500¢-4400¢
6Map 1 Winner4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
7Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
8Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
9Map 2 Winner3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
10Match Winner3650.0%$63.2K3650¢-3550¢
11Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)3650.0%$2.7K3650¢-3550¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Team Falcons.

This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Legacy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:50 PM
    NInigiri99
    $185.00

    Bought 500 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.37

  • 09:50 PM
    DODoctorius
    $20.00

    Bought 36.363635 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 09:46 PM
    NInigiri99
    $47.36

    Bought 128 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.37

  • 09:39 PM
    RURUSLAN4
    $9.00

    Bought 14.0625 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.64

  • 09:38 PM
    RURUSLAN4
    $30.00

    Bought 46.875 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.64

  • 09:32 PM
    NEnegat1ve-v2
    $1,000.00

    Bought 2702.702701 Team Falcons for Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:30 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 1.65625 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.64

  • 09:30 PM
    HEHeitGwinni
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.64

  • 09:21 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 09:20 PM
    NAnaesnny17
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Legacy for Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:18 PM
    0X0x0dfd9BA937CF74fCdB7F542AD9E65858C126F132-1786074019306
    $3.92

    Bought 6.125 Team Falcons for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.64

  • 09:03 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.88

    Bought 24 Legacy for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.37

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$207.25
Volume
$40,786.33
Positions
Team Falcons
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Legacy
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Legacy
HU4
humbleboy
Event PnL
-$44.00
Volume
$8,799.95
Positions
Legacy
EX5
Excession6
Event PnL
-$32.50
Volume
$6,500.00
Positions
Legacy
AI6
Aiyaaaa
Event PnL
-$20.30
Volume
$4,060.00
Positions
Legacy
DR7
Dr.Damnboy
Event PnL
-$19.49
Volume
$3,898.30
Positions
Legacy
AR8
artulliik
Event PnL
-$2.52
Volume
$3,160.99
Positions
Team Falcons

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(4,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $65.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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