National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul

$106K Vol
2026年8月14日
Active
機率趨勢
Tommy Paul 61.5%
Learner Tien 38.5%

核心摘要

根據「National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 以 5,850% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 以 5,300% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $106K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,550%):National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $149 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 (5,300%):以 5,300% 的機率位列第三,市場對 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,200%)、National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%),以及 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.57550.0%$1497550¢-7450¢
2National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.55850.0%$8585850¢-5750¢
3National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.55300.0%$7555300¢-5200¢
4National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.54700.0%$94700¢-4600¢
10National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.54400.0%$3964400¢-4300¢
11National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
12National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner4050.0%$1.3K4050¢-3950¢
13National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul3850.0%$96.7K3850¢-3750¢
14National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.53600.0%$13.2K3600¢-3500¢
15National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.52100.0%$13.2K2100¢-2000¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Tommy Paul in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Tommy Paul.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Learner Tien.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 7, 2026

  • 08:24 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128204 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

  • 08:22 PM
    KOKomo431
    $151.00

    Bought 251.666665 Paul for Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Paul at 0.6

  • 07:49 PM
    $9.71

    Bought 15.661289 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:41 PM
    $98.41

    Bought 158.725805 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:40 PM
    DAdarknight911
    $154.40

    Bought 249.032257 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:37 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 12.820511 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

  • 07:30 PM
    $54.13

    Bought 87.30645 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:27 PM
    FPFPBA1
    $2.00

    Sold 5 Under for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.4

  • 07:26 PM
    JEjesseis97
    $47.10

    Bought 77.216189 Over for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.61

  • 07:20 PM
    PRprostozero
    $154.38

    Bought 249 Tommy Paul for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    $47.13

    Bought 87.277776 Over for Tien vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.54

  • 07:10 PM
    ASASDF1268
    $25.00

    Bought 64.102563 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul at 0.39

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

D11
0xd104…710b
Event PnL
-$117.49
Volume
$23,497.56
Positions
Tommy Paul
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$510.21
Volume
$11,346.60
Positions
Tien
FA3
fastball67
Event PnL
+$0.35
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
Paul
RI4
riverskew
Event PnL
+$39.89
Volume
$7,978.03
Positions
Learner Tien
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$13.95
Volume
$6,108.11
Positions
Learner TienUnder 2.5
MO6
moneybagyooo
Event PnL
+$22.10
Volume
$4,419.99
Positions
Tommy Paul
K57
k56
Event PnL
-$48.48
Volume
$3,618.78
Positions
Tommy Paul
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$15.76
Volume
$3,152.00
Positions
Tommy Paul

常見問題

目前市場對「National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5(5,850%),以及 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5(5,300%)。該市場總成交量已達 $106K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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