Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill

$151.5K Vol
2026年8月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Colton Smith 59.5%
Felix Gill 40.5%

核心摘要

根據「Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill 以 5,950% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $151.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%):Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill (5,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill 保持著 5,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,950¢。
  • Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner (5,000%),以及 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill5950.0%$150.6K5950¢-5850¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner5000.0%$2885000¢-4900¢
6Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 21.55000.0%$605000¢-4900¢
7Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$235000¢-4900¢
9Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$2585000¢-4900¢
10Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 22.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
11Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$2585000¢-4900¢
14Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Felix Gill in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Felix Gill.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Colton Smith.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:34 PM
    ABAbdou1616
    $4.88

    Sold 12.19 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.4

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0x1036FDdD82610f06E71E997a01a605a2b2454128-1782131158798
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6

  • 08:30 PM
    SKskyline-
    $10.17

    Sold 17.24 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59

  • 08:29 PM
    $1.94

    Sold 3.29 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59

  • 08:27 PM
    LLlluism2
    $2.00

    Sold 5 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.4

  • 08:26 PM
    RURu386
    $100.00

    Bought 166.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0x9e49D8AA2F955e6Acf0B41723d75054F9ADD421E-1765511342307
    $1.96

    Sold 3.33 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59

  • 08:20 PM
    ANAntoRob
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6

  • 08:17 PM
    BEbettrade
    $1.00

    Bought 2.439023 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.41

  • 08:14 PM
    0X0x9e49D8AA2F955e6Acf0B41723d75054F9ADD421E-1765511342307
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6

  • 08:03 PM
    TETemakenward
    $1.00

    Sold 1.69 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59

  • 08:02 PM
    THThreeFives
    $12.20

    Sold 20.68 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$2,289.28
Volume
$35,970.08
Positions
Felix Gill
ZA2
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$155.49
Volume
$12,165.89
Positions
Felix Gill
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$72.03
Volume
$11,724.79
Positions
Colton SmithGill
TR4
tradecraft
Event PnL
+$127.02
Volume
$8,955.50
Positions
Colton Smith
DA5
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$12.79
Volume
$7,375.81
Positions
Felix Gill
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$463.25
Volume
$6,735.70
Positions
Felix Gill
RN7
RN1
Event PnL
+$78.41
Volume
$6,098.82
Positions
Colton Smith
CO8
comon119
Event PnL
+$175.00
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Felix Gill

常見問題

目前市場對「Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill(5,950%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $151.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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