
Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense
核心摘要
根據「Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Pittsburgh Steelers 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Indianapolis Colts 以 5,050% 位居第二,Philadelphia Eagles 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Pittsburgh Steelers (5,050%):Pittsburgh Steelers 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Indianapolis Colts (5,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Indianapolis Colts 保持著 5,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,050¢。
- Philadelphia Eagles (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Philadelphia Eagles 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 New York Giants (5,050%)、Atlanta Falcons (5,050%),以及 Los Angeles Rams (5,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Team B 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Indianapolis Colts | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Philadelphia Eagles | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | New York Giants | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Atlanta Falcons | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Los Angeles Rams | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Team B | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Team C | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Other | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Buffalo Bills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Miami Dolphins | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | New York Jets | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Houston Texans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Tennessee Titans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Denver Broncos | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Las Vegas Raiders | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Los Angeles Chargers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Dallas Cowboys | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Minnesota Vikings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | New Orleans Saints | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Arizona Cardinals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Seattle Seahawks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | New England Patriots | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 28 | Baltimore Ravens | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 29 | Cleveland Browns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 30 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 31 | Washington Commanders | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 32 | Chicago Bears | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 33 | Detroit Lions | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 34 | Green Bay Packers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 35 | San Francisco 49ers | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 36 | Team A | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 37 | Team D | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 38 | Team E | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve in favor of the team that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the fewest total yards allowed per game (total yards allowed divided by games played).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team with fewer points allowed during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with more total takeaways (interceptions plus fumble recoveries) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which team led the NFL in total yards allowed per game (total yards allowed divided by games played) within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Pittsburgh Steelers 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Indianapolis Colts(5,050%),以及 Philadelphia Eagles(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
