LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$148K Vol
2026年8月8日
Active
概率趋势
T1 50.5%
Hanwha Life Esports 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 7,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,550% 位居第二,Any Player Penta Kill 以 6,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $148K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,650%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 7,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,550¢。
  • Any Player Penta Kill (6,000%):以 6,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Any Player Penta Kill 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,500%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 1? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7650.0%7650¢-7550¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7550.0%7550¢-7450¢
3Any Player Penta Kill6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
8Game 1 Winner5150.0%$2.2K5150¢-5050¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Match Winner5050.0%$142.6K5050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5050.0%$65050¢-4950¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Game 2 Winner4850.0%$414850¢-4750¢
17O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$2.6K4850¢-4750¢
18First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4850.0%$1054850¢-4750¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3450.0%$913450¢-3350¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3350.0%$453350¢-3250¢
23Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)2650.0%$5682650¢-2550¢
24Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2300.0%2300¢-2200¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2300.0%2300¢-2200¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1850.0%1850¢-1750¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1850.0%1850¢-1750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Hanwha Life Esports.

This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against T1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 7, 2026

  • 08:21 PM
    MIMin777
    $222.17

    Bought 435.627448 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.51

  • 08:18 PM
    77777Soup
    $15.16

    Bought 29.725489 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.51

  • 08:17 PM
    NONovayaZemlya
    $10.20

    Bought 20 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.51

  • 08:16 PM
    SAsauron1-119
    $70.89

    Bought 136.326922 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 08:12 PM
    GAGambIeKing
    $2.32

    Bought 4.549018 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.51

  • 08:12 PM
    JZJZhang01
    $5.20

    Bought 10.4 Hanwha Life Esports for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.5

  • 08:12 PM
    ELElaran1993
    $2,342.90

    Bought 4685.8 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.5

  • 08:11 PM
    ELElaran1993
    $77.80

    Bought 152.54 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 08:04 PM
    $193.33

    Bought 261.256753 T1 for Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) at 0.74

  • 08:04 PM
    0X0xb5527654d309c6617addabbb64e47931cf35b70c-1783406016141
    $9.52

    Bought 19.04 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.5

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.50

    Bought 5 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.5

  • 07:50 PM
    HIhiuhiudayo
    $5.00

    Bought 10 T1 for LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.5

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AT1
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports
ME2
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
+$300.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
T1
9E3
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$13.09
Volume
$18,921.69
Positions
T1Under
ST4
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$268.75
Volume
$13,068.98
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports
ST5
stop123444444
Event PnL
-$7.90
Volume
$12,322.66
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports
RE6
retroactivesource
Event PnL
+$62.10
Volume
$10,437.31
Positions
T1
VI7
vibing123
Event PnL
-$292.49
Volume
$6,499.85
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports
NO8
nobody2somebody
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$4,999.97
Positions
Hanwha Life Esports

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,550%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill(6,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $148K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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